Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aarhus
Viborg		28.5%
45.2%		26.3%
+208
+154
+210
+145
1
0		-1.16012-1.18335-1.25495
Randers
Aarhus		19.1%
58.1%		22.9%
+321
+106
+310
-105
1
1		-1.23863-1.27279-1.47548
Nordsjaelland
FC Copenhagen		17.1%
62.1%		20.8%
+320
-112
+310
-115
1
2		-0.67062-0.67360-0.47657
Viborg
Brondby		27.0%
47.9%		25.1%
+254
+117
+260
+105
3
0		-1.29193-1.33094-1.30896
Silkeborg
Lyngby		48.6%
26.9%		24.5%
+180
+171
+160
+165
1
1		-1.26457-1.28888-1.40572
Aalborg
Horsens		29.6%
43.6%		26.7%
+179
+170
+185
+155
4
0		-1.06935-1.09679-1.21591
Midtjylland
Odense		46.4%
27.8%		25.8%
+141
+190
+130
+195
3
1		-0.91649-0.88317-0.76802
Horsens
Lyngby		29.4%
44.2%		26.4%
+267
+115
+270
+110
1
1		-1.26546-1.23141-1.33344
Midtjylland
Silkeborg		34.1%
39.3%		26.6%
+210
+133
+190
+130
3
3		-1.33014-1.34692-1.32373
Brondby
Nordsjaelland		23.0%
53.6%		23.4%
+228
+121
+215
+120
1
2		-0.82385-0.84077-0.62330
Randers
Aalborg		32.5%
40.3%		27.2%
+192
+154
+175
+170
1
0		-1.10226-1.06178-1.12248
Viborg
FC Copenhagen		17.5%
61.2%		21.3%
+827
-266
+715
-260
1
2		-0.34537-0.37730-0.49092
Odense
Aarhus		18.4%
59.2%		22.3%
+334
-115
+330
-120
0
1		-0.65512-0.65682-0.52388
Aarhus
Randers		34.3%
37.6%		28.1%
+188
+182
+190
+175
2
1		-1.09130-1.11106-1.07143
Silkeborg
Brondby		31.0%
43.2%		25.8%
+284
-101
+275
-105
1
2		-0.71734-0.71701-0.83887
FC Copenhagen
Horsens		56.0%
20.5%		23.4%
-282
+862
-280
+850
4
1		-0.33885-0.35458-0.57955
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.