EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

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Games for Dec 7, 2025
Games for Dec 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Liverpool
Manchester City
13.0%
68.3%
18.6%
+450
-153
+400
-160
2
3
-0.50228-0.52243-0.38062
Burnley
Manchester United
9.4%
74.2%
16.4%
+686
-245
+610
-245
0
2
-0.37190-0.39202-0.29804
Brighton and Hove Albion
Charlton Athletic
80.0%
6.4%
13.6%
-331
+984
-350
+900
3
4
-2.40817-2.35440-2.74388
Nottingham Forest
Blackburn
41.9%
30.0%
28.1%
-128
+386
-130
+380
4
1
-0.60519-0.62060-0.87024
Lincoln City
Southampton
4.5%
85.8%
9.7%

+1000
-375
1
2
-0.28506-0.15372
Bournemouth
Newcastle United
12.9%
67.7%
19.3%
+850
-305
+775
-290
0
1
-0.32295-0.34701-0.38971
Leicester City
Milton Keynes Dons
71.0%
11.7%
17.3%
-349
+1031
-365
+1000
3
0
-0.28381-0.29070-0.34259
Gillingham
Wolverhampton
2.7%
88.8%
8.4%
+2200
-703
+2000
-825
0
2
-0.15606-0.16093-0.11864
Aston Villa
Manchester United
14.8%
65.5%
19.7%
+425
-137
+325
-160
2
4
-0.56768-0.60636-0.42376
Derby County
Liverpool
2.2%
91.1%
6.7%
+498
-165
+400
-225
2
3
-0.48337-0.48781-0.09322
Chelsea
Manchester City
9.8%
74.1%
16.1%
+523
-193
+500
-260
0
2
-0.45528-0.44751-0.29955
Leeds United
Wolverhampton
20.1%
55.8%
24.1%
+420
-138
+340
-150
0
1
-0.55977-0.63331-0.58331
Brighton and Hove Albion
Arsenal
16.7%
61.2%
22.1%
+240
+127
+250
-120
3
1
-1.24233-1.37081-1.79132
Crystal Palace
Newcastle United
27.4%
45.5%
27.1%
+456
-139
+370
-175
2
3
-0.56363-0.57148-0.78777
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
61.7%
16.9%
21.5%
-111
+335
-135
+285
0
2
-1.49606-1.46881-1.78064
Blackburn
West Ham United
5.6%
83.0%
11.5%
+1150
-383

10
9
-2.55130-2.89119
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.