EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 23, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Crystal Palace
Arsenal 		12.5%
68.5%		19.0%
+460
-162
+460
-165
0.78
2.13		2.91
o2½+102
u2½-112
o2½+105
u2½-125
Games for Dec 22, 2025
Games for Dec 24, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Wycombe Wanderers
Wigan Athletic		31.1%
41.1%		27.8%
+220
+137
+210
+140
2
0		-1.20261-1.18185-1.16941
Brighton and Hove Albion
Barnsley		67.0%
13.3%		19.8%
-336
+864
-400
+1000
6
0		-0.29969-0.27279-0.40067
Cardiff City
Burnley		23.9%
50.4%		25.7%
+300
-105
+290
-105
2
1		-1.42329-1.41005-1.43167
Everton
Wolverhampton		39.9%
31.7%		28.4%
+149
+200
+145
+200
0
2		-1.13066-1.14662-1.14917
Nottingham Forest
Swansea City		64.0%
14.8%		21.1%
-144
+383
-135
+340
2
3		-1.61455-1.53206-1.90744
Aston Villa
Brentford		37.5%
34.5%		28.0%
-105
+271
+105
+275
2
4		-1.34973-1.33587-1.06418
Millwall
Crystal Palace		5.9%
80.6%		13.5%
+940
-300
+950
-320
2
4		-0.31854-0.31340-0.21582
Grimsby Town
Sheffield Wednesday		14.5%
64.5%		21.0%
+122
+230
+115
+225
1
0		-0.83753-0.83434-1.92978
Manchester United
Grimsby Town		89.6%
2.8%		7.6%
-686
+1620

11
12		-2.88401-3.57377
Brighton and Hove Albion
Oxford United		82.6%
5.6%		11.7%
-240
+645
-290
+525
6
0		-0.38649-0.41925-0.19083
Bristol City
Fulham		7.7%
78.0%		14.3%
+608
-223
+475
-240
0
2		-0.41011-0.47034-0.24895
Mansfield Town
Everton		4.7%
85.0%		10.4%
+1247
-427

0
2		-0.24987-0.16310
Leeds United
Sheffield Wednesday		69.3%
12.4%		18.2%
-921
+2467

0
3		-3.28448-2.08474
Lincoln City
Burton Albion		51.3%
23.9%		24.8%
+123
+240
+150
+140
1
0		-0.83635-1.03778-0.66701
Derby County
Burnley		16.1%
61.2%		22.7%
+625
-212
+560
-295
1
2		-0.42576-0.41494-0.49138
Plymouth Argyle
Swansea City		17.8%
60.6%		21.6%
+518
-185
+395
-210
3
5		-0.46668-0.51119-0.50159
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.54136 
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.54308 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.40137
0.13999
0.14170

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.