EFL Cup Predictions

Updated

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Games for Mar 28, 2024
Games for Mar 30, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Port Vale
Mansfield Town
25.6%
49.0%
25.4%
+325
-112
+345
-130
1
0
-1.46998-1.54463-1.36156
Manchester City
Newcastle United
70.2%
11.9%
17.9%
+127
+228
+125
+220
0
1
-1.21848-1.20491-2.13217
Leicester City
Liverpool
3.9%
87.4%
8.7%
+620
-238
+690
-275
1
3
-0.37861-0.35932-0.13472
Cardiff City
Blackburn
25.6%
48.7%
25.7%
+265
+104
+275
-105
2
5
-0.74680-0.71701-0.71902
Norwich City
Fulham
11.1%
70.7%
18.2%
+725
-265
+700
-265
1
2
-0.35823-0.36993-0.34639
Arsenal
Brentford
49.7%
24.9%
25.4%
+155
+200
+150
+235
1
0
-0.95550-0.90039-0.69941
West Ham United
Lincoln City
81.6%
6.0%
12.4%
-235
+650
-260
+700
1
0
-0.39890-0.37545-0.20313
Stoke City
Bournemouth
14.7%
64.2%
21.1%
+322
-120
+380
-135
0
2
-0.64299-0.58359-0.44262
Everton
Aston Villa
19.7%
57.5%
22.8%
+330
-120
+345
-125
2
1
-1.49179-1.53879-1.62283
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
14.2%
65.3%
20.4%
+209
+120
+200
+120
0
1
-0.82244-0.84847-0.42560
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
17.9%
59.3%
22.8%
+475
-155
+450
-160
0
3
-0.52911-0.53164-0.52317
Peterborough United
Mansfield Town
42.5%
31.1%
26.4%
+154
+180
+160
+170
1
3
-1.05860-1.02926-1.16777
Luton Town
Exeter City
51.3%
23.6%
25.1%
+103
+274
+105
+300
0
1
-1.35615-1.40952-1.44460
Wolverhampton
Ipswich Town
49.8%
23.5%
26.7%
+150
+179
+140
+185
2
3
-1.06386-1.09539-1.44643
Burnley
Salford City
77.5%
7.4%
15.1%
-321
+903
-350
+950
4
0
-0.30320-0.29023-0.25516
Everton
Doncaster Rovers
83.3%
5.3%
11.4%
-400
+1131
-500
+900
2
1
-0.26233-0.29905-0.18325
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The League Cup is an annual tournament organized by the English Football League. The tournament comprises of all the teams in the top four divisions of English football: the Premier League, English Championship, League One, and League Two. Projections for the seven round tournament are listed above and are based on the result after 90 minutes.