Derby County at Norwich City

Updated

Derby County

17.0%23.2%59.8%
WinDrawNorwich City Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.75
1Final Score 1

Norwich City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sheffield United+270
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+305
L 1-0 vs Sunderland+290
L 2-0 vs Watford+110
L 0-1 at Bristol City+360
Norwich City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Watford+160
W 1-5 vs Swansea City+120
L 0-2 at Leeds United+850
L 0-2 at Sheffield United+290
W 1-2 vs Coventry City+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+320+374+360+315+374+315+374+351.0
Norwich City-125-130-130-123-141-123-123-103.1
Draw+260+279+250+245+278+240+279+269.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+365---+345+375+375+351.0
Norwich City-135----165-135-135-103.1
Draw+285---+260+275+275+269.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +382 to +374
Norwich City ML moved from -130 to -137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Norwich City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Norwich City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +390 to +375
Norwich City ML moved from -135 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-102o2½+100o2¼-118o2½-110o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-107
Underu2½-110u2½-115u2½-120u2¼-102u2½-110u2¼-102u2½-110u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-107
Under-----u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2¼+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.73%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 413.83%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.79%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.08%
Exactly 71.10%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 044.55%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.56%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 017.36%
Exactly 130.39%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 315.54%
Exactly 46.80%
Exactly 52.38%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.57%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 068.77%
Exactly 125.74%
Exactly 24.82%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 044.45%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.61%
Exactly 33.95%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.11%
Wins by 3+ goals1.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals34.07%
Wins by 3+ goals15.53%
Wins by 4+ goals5.78%
Wins by 5+ goals1.79%
Wins by 6+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Norwich City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal11.85%
Wins by 2 goals3.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal25.68%
Wins by 2 goals18.54%
Wins by 3 goals9.75%
Wins by 4 goals4.00%
Wins by 5 goals1.34%
Wins by 6 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.27%7.73%
1.572.47%27.53%
2.547.14%52.86%
3.525.53%74.47%
4.511.69%88.31%
5.54.61%95.39%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.45%44.55%
1.519.43%80.57%
2.54.87%95.13%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.64%17.36%
1.552.25%47.75%
2.525.64%74.36%
3.510.10%89.90%
4.53.30%96.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.43%30.57%
1.533.20%66.80%
2.511.73%88.27%
3.53.25%96.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Norwich City
Score012345
0
7.73%
13.54%
11.86%
6.92%
3.03%
1.06%
1
6.25%
10.95%
9.59%
5.60%
2.45%
0.86%
2
2.53%
4.43%
3.88%
2.26%
0.99%
0.35%
3
0.68%
1.19%
1.04%
0.61%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.14%
0.24%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.25%
2-02.53%
2-14.43%
3-00.68%
3-11.19%
3-21.04%
4-00.14%
4-10.24%
4-20.21%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-07.73%
1-110.95%
2-23.88%
3-30.61%
Norwich City
0-113.54%
0-211.86%
1-29.59%
0-36.92%
1-35.60%
2-32.26%
0-43.03%
1-42.45%
2-40.99%
3-40.27%
0-51.06%
1-50.86%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Norwich City
Score01234
0
30.57%
24.79%
10.05%
2.72%
0.55%
1
11.44%
9.28%
3.76%
1.02%
0.21%
2
2.14%
1.74%
0.70%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.27%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Derby County
1-011.44%
2-02.14%
2-11.74%
3-00.27%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-030.57%
1-19.28%
2-20.70%
Norwich City
0-124.79%
0-210.05%
1-23.76%
0-32.72%
1-31.02%
2-30.19%
0-40.55%
1-40.21%
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