Burnley at Stoke City

Updated

Burnley

44.6%27.8%27.5%
Burnley WinDrawStoke City Win
1.32Projected Goals 0.98
1Final Score 0

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Birmingham City-175
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough+100
W 3-0 at Queens Park Rangers+125
W 0-3 vs Blackburn-130
L 2-5 at Sheffield United+190
Stoke City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Rotherham United+125
W 2-1 at Bristol City+175
T 2-2 vs Cardiff City+105
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+330
W 0-2 vs Luton Town+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+125+120+120+113+117+113+120+126.9
Stoke City+220+256+245+240+266+240+266+282.7
Draw+225+229+210+215+221+215+229+235.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+125----110+105+105+126.9
Stoke City+220---+235+265+265+282.7
Draw+240---+230+245+245+235.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Stoke City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +116 to +108
Stoke City ML moved from +250 to +240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Stoke City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Burnley: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +105 to -110
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2-146o2¼+102o2¼+100o2½+133o2¼+100o2¼+102o2½+139
Underu2½-122u2+124u2¼-122u2¼-120u2½-148u2¼-120u2½-148u2½-139
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+139
Under-----u2½-139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.8%
 
No54.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.00%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 411.71%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 123.03%
Exactly 320.35%
Exactly 55.39%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 026.58%
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 037.64%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.97%
Exactly 35.85%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.44%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 054.14%
Exactly 133.22%
Exactly 210.19%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 063.61%
Exactly 128.78%
Exactly 26.51%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals20.69%
Wins by 3+ goals7.45%
Wins by 4+ goals2.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals9.88%
Wins by 3+ goals2.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal23.90%
Wins by 2 goals13.24%
Wins by 3 goals5.31%
Wins by 4 goals1.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal17.63%
Wins by 2 goals7.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.00%10.00%
1.566.97%33.03%
2.540.46%59.54%
3.520.11%79.89%
4.58.40%91.60%
5.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.42%26.58%
1.538.20%61.80%
2.514.87%85.13%
3.54.56%95.44%
4.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.36%37.64%
1.525.59%74.41%
2.57.62%92.38%
3.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.56%34.44%
1.528.85%71.15%
2.59.28%90.72%
3.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Stoke City
Score01234
0
10.00%
9.77%
4.78%
1.56%
0.38%
1
13.25%
12.95%
6.33%
2.06%
0.50%
2
8.78%
8.58%
4.19%
1.37%
0.33%
3
3.88%
3.79%
1.85%
0.60%
0.15%
4
1.29%
1.26%
0.61%
0.20%
0.05%
5
0.34%
0.33%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Burnley
1-013.25%
2-08.78%
2-18.58%
3-03.88%
3-13.79%
3-21.85%
4-01.29%
4-11.26%
4-20.61%
4-30.20%
5-00.34%
5-10.33%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-010.00%
1-112.95%
2-24.19%
3-30.60%
Stoke City
0-19.77%
0-24.78%
1-26.33%
0-31.56%
1-32.06%
2-31.37%
0-40.38%
1-40.50%
2-40.33%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Stoke City
Score0123
0
34.44%
15.58%
3.53%
0.53%
1
21.13%
9.56%
2.16%
0.33%
2
6.48%
2.93%
0.66%
0.10%
3
1.33%
0.60%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.20%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-021.13%
2-06.48%
2-12.93%
3-01.33%
3-10.60%
3-20.14%
4-00.20%
Draw
0-034.44%
1-19.56%
2-20.66%
Stoke City
0-115.58%
0-23.53%
1-22.16%
0-30.53%
1-30.33%
2-30.10%
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