Southampton at Cardiff City

Updated

Southampton

52.1%24.1%23.7%
Southampton WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.69Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 2

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Preston North End-340
W 2-3 vs Watford-255
W 1-2 vs Coventry City-135
T 0-0 at Blackburn-105
L 2-3 at Ipswich Town+180
Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-3 at Millwall+355
W 1-0 at Birmingham City+340
L 3-1 vs Hull City+225
W 2-1 at Coventry City+585
L 2-0 vs Sunderland+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-177-328-360-385-340-385-328-283.9
Cardiff City+499+851+800+860+884+860+884+930.5
Draw+328+494+460+470+497+470+497+511.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-180----370-330-330-283.9
Cardiff City+475---+665+850+850+930.5
Draw+330---+380+465+465+511.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from -333 to -340
Cardiff City ML moved from +880 to +860

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from -320 to -330
Cardiff City ML moved from +840 to +820

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+107o3½+113o3¼-108o3¼-120o3¼-113o3¼-120o3¼-108o3¼-109
Underu3-127u3½-133u3¼-112u3¼+100u3¼-105u3¼+100u3½-133u3¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-109
Under-----u3¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.40%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 415.23%
Exactly 63.84%
Exactly 80.52%
 
Exactly 117.58%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 58.38%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 018.44%
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 314.85%
Exactly 46.28%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 034.68%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.00%
Exactly 222.69%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 39.63%
Exactly 50.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 045.72%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 214.00%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 061.24%
Exactly 130.03%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals28.26%
Wins by 3+ goals12.29%
Wins by 4+ goals4.38%
Wins by 5+ goals1.29%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals8.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals15.97%
Wins by 3 goals7.91%
Wins by 4 goals3.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.98%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal14.94%
Wins by 2 goals6.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.60%6.40%
1.576.02%23.98%
2.551.84%48.16%
3.529.69%70.31%
4.514.46%85.54%
5.56.08%93.92%
6.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.56%18.44%
1.550.38%49.62%
2.524.03%75.97%
3.59.18%90.82%
4.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.32%34.68%
1.528.60%71.40%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.00%28.00%
1.536.36%63.64%
2.513.67%86.33%
3.54.05%95.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
6.40%
6.77%
3.59%
1.27%
0.34%
1
10.81%
11.45%
6.06%
2.14%
0.57%
2
9.14%
9.68%
5.13%
1.81%
0.48%
3
5.15%
5.45%
2.89%
1.02%
0.27%
4
2.18%
2.30%
1.22%
0.43%
0.11%
5
0.74%
0.78%
0.41%
0.15%
0.04%
Southampton
1-010.81%
2-09.14%
2-19.68%
3-05.15%
3-15.45%
3-22.89%
4-02.18%
4-12.30%
4-21.22%
4-30.43%
5-00.74%
5-10.78%
5-20.41%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.40%
1-111.45%
2-25.13%
3-31.02%
4-40.11%
Cardiff City
0-16.77%
0-23.59%
1-26.06%
0-31.27%
1-32.14%
2-31.81%
0-40.34%
1-40.57%
2-40.48%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Cardiff City
Score0123
0
28.00%
13.73%
3.37%
0.55%
1
21.91%
10.75%
2.63%
0.43%
2
8.58%
4.21%
1.03%
0.17%
3
2.24%
1.10%
0.27%
0.04%
4
0.44%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
Southampton
1-021.91%
2-08.58%
2-14.21%
3-02.24%
3-11.10%
3-20.27%
4-00.44%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-028.00%
1-110.75%
2-21.03%
Cardiff City
0-113.73%
0-23.37%
1-22.63%
0-30.55%
1-30.43%
2-30.17%