Millwall at Middlesbrough

Updated

Millwall

20.6%25.2%54.2%
Millwall WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.59
0Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Rotherham United-200
T 0-0 vs Bristol City-135
W 2-0 at Watford+285
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic-105
L 0-3 at Sunderland+180
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 3-1 at Birmingham City+105
W 2-1 at Blackburn+130
W 1-4 vs Wigan Athletic-160
L 1-3 at Burnley+285
W 1-2 vs Luton Town-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+295+272+265+215+309+215+309+322.1
Middlesbrough-105+114+105+120+103+120+120+109.5
Draw+230+230+235+225+239+225+239+249.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+300---+270+285+285+322.1
Middlesbrough-105----115+105+105+109.5
Draw+245---+210+230+230+249.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +230 to +220
Middlesbrough ML moved from +120 to +105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +315 to +280
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-143o2¼-102o2¼-106o2½+118o2¼-106o2-143o2½+124
Underu2¼-102u2+121u2¼-118u2¼-114u2½-133u2¼-114u2½-133u2½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+124
Under-----u2½-124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 413.01%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.05%
Exactly 321.18%
Exactly 56.40%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 041.86%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.87%
Exactly 34.61%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 020.47%
Exactly 132.47%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 313.62%
Exactly 45.40%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.06%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 42.24%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 066.82%
Exactly 126.94%
Exactly 25.43%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 047.97%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 212.94%
Exactly 33.17%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals6.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals28.78%
Wins by 3+ goals12.10%
Wins by 4+ goals4.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.17%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal13.95%
Wins by 2 goals5.03%
Wins by 3 goals1.31%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal25.41%
Wins by 2 goals16.69%
Wins by 3 goals7.96%
Wins by 4 goals2.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.38%29.62%
2.544.52%55.48%
3.523.33%76.67%
4.510.32%89.68%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.14%41.86%
1.521.68%78.32%
2.55.81%94.19%
3.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.53%20.47%
1.547.07%52.93%
2.521.31%78.69%
3.57.70%92.30%
4.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.94%32.06%
1.531.47%68.53%
2.510.73%89.27%
3.52.86%97.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
8.57%
13.59%
10.78%
5.70%
2.26%
0.72%
1
7.46%
11.84%
9.39%
4.96%
1.97%
0.62%
2
3.25%
5.15%
4.09%
2.16%
0.86%
0.27%
3
0.94%
1.50%
1.19%
0.63%
0.25%
0.08%
4
0.21%
0.33%
0.26%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
Millwall
1-07.46%
2-03.25%
2-15.15%
3-00.94%
3-11.50%
3-21.19%
4-00.21%
4-10.33%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.57%
1-111.84%
2-24.09%
3-30.63%
Middlesbrough
0-113.59%
0-210.78%
1-29.39%
0-35.70%
1-34.96%
2-32.16%
0-42.26%
1-41.97%
2-40.86%
3-40.25%
0-50.72%
1-50.62%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
32.06%
23.55%
8.65%
2.12%
0.39%
1
12.92%
9.49%
3.49%
0.85%
0.16%
2
2.61%
1.91%
0.70%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.35%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-012.92%
2-02.61%
2-11.91%
3-00.35%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-032.06%
1-19.49%
2-20.70%
Middlesbrough
0-123.55%
0-28.65%
1-23.49%
0-32.12%
1-30.85%
2-30.17%
0-40.39%
1-40.16%