Derby County at Leicester City

Updated

Derby County

24.9%23.9%51.2%
Derby County WinDrawLeicester City Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.71
1Final Score 2

Leicester City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+335
T 1-1 vs Portsmouth-100
W 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+110
T 1-1 vs Millwall+165
L 3-1 vs Leicester City+175
Leicester City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Watford+130
L 1-4 at Queens Park Rangers+185
W 1-3 vs Ipswich Town+235
T 2-2 at Bristol City+215
W 3-1 at Derby County+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+265+260+245+225+225+225+260+252.0
Leicester City-102+115+106+116+116+116+116+134.0
Draw+250+240+225+220+220+220+240+246.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+255----+255+255+252.0
Leicester City+105----+115+115+134.0
Draw+255----+230+230+246.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Leicester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 30.0%
Leicester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +255 to +245
Leicester City ML moved from +116 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Leicester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Leicester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +275 to +255
No Steam Moves On Leicester City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2¼+101o2¼-108o2¼-109o2¼-108o2¼-109o2¼+101o2¼+101
Underu2¼-108u2¼-114u2¼-112u2¼-111u2¼-112u2¼-111u2¼-111u2¼-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+101
Under-----u2¼-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.2%
 
No44.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.89%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 415.78%
Exactly 64.22%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.68%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.94%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 032.62%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.47%
Exactly 37.64%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Leicester City
Exactly 018.06%
Exactly 130.91%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 315.09%
Exactly 46.46%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.95%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 310.13%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 059.53%
Exactly 130.88%
Exactly 28.01%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leicester City
Exactly 045.27%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.22%
Exactly 33.76%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.49%
Wins by 3+ goals2.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%
Leicester City
Wins by 2+ goals27.79%
Wins by 3+ goals12.14%
Wins by 4+ goals4.35%
Wins by 5+ goals1.30%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Leicester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.30%
Wins by 2 goals6.70%
Wins by 3 goals2.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.53%
Leicester City
Wins by 1 goal23.38%
Wins by 2 goals15.65%
Wins by 3 goals7.79%
Wins by 4 goals3.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.98%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.11%5.89%
1.577.43%22.57%
2.553.81%46.19%
3.531.52%68.48%
4.515.73%84.27%
5.56.79%93.21%
6.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.38%32.62%
1.530.84%69.16%
2.510.37%89.63%
3.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Leicester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.94%18.06%
1.551.04%48.96%
2.524.59%75.41%
3.59.49%90.51%
4.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.05%26.95%
1.537.71%62.29%
2.514.55%85.45%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Leicester City
Score012345
0
5.89%
10.08%
8.63%
4.92%
2.11%
0.72%
1
6.60%
11.29%
9.67%
5.51%
2.36%
0.81%
2
3.70%
6.33%
5.41%
3.09%
1.32%
0.45%
3
1.38%
2.36%
2.02%
1.15%
0.49%
0.17%
4
0.39%
0.66%
0.57%
0.32%
0.14%
0.05%
Derby County
1-06.60%
2-03.70%
2-16.33%
3-01.38%
3-12.36%
3-22.02%
4-00.39%
4-10.66%
4-20.57%
4-30.32%
Draw
0-05.89%
1-111.29%
2-25.41%
3-31.15%
4-40.14%
Leicester City
0-110.08%
0-28.63%
1-29.67%
0-34.92%
1-35.51%
2-33.09%
0-42.11%
1-42.36%
2-41.32%
3-40.49%
0-50.72%
1-50.81%
2-50.45%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Leicester City
Score01234
0
26.95%
21.36%
8.46%
2.24%
0.44%
1
13.98%
11.08%
4.39%
1.16%
0.23%
2
3.63%
2.87%
1.14%
0.30%
0.06%
3
0.63%
0.50%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Derby County
1-013.98%
2-03.63%
2-12.87%
3-00.63%
3-10.50%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-026.95%
1-111.08%
2-21.14%
Leicester City
0-121.36%
0-28.46%
1-24.39%
0-32.24%
1-31.16%
2-30.30%
0-40.44%
1-40.23%
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