Millwall at Reading

Updated

Millwall

35.8%28.8%35.4%
Millwall WinDrawReading Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 0

Reading

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+170
T 2-2 at Luton Town+260
W 1-0 at Stoke City+235
T 1-1 vs Burnley+220
W 2-3 vs Sheffield United+180
Reading
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sheffield United+425
L 0-5 at Middlesbrough+800
W 1-3 vs Blackpool+115
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+310
W 1-2 vs Rotherham United-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+139+100-105-110+100-110+100+108.1
Reading+213+328+310+310+355+310+355+347.0
Draw+231+227+225+210+232+210+232+238.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+115----125-105-105+108.1
Reading+245---+300+320+320+347.0
Draw+240---+210+230+230+238.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Reading: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Reading: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +100 to -100
Reading ML moved from +295 to +285

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Reading: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Reading: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from -105 to -125
Reading ML moved from +270 to +260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+122o2-105o2-108o2¼+124o2-101o2¼+124o2-101o2¼+132
Underu2½-144u2-113u2-112u2¼-144u2-114u2¼-144u2¼-144u2¼-132
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+132
Under-----u2¼-132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-146 to o2½+117
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.67%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 411.15%
Exactly 61.86%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.88%
Exactly 319.93%
Exactly 54.99%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 032.55%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.50%
Exactly 37.67%
Exactly 42.15%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 032.78%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.39%
Exactly 37.58%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.49%
Exactly 219.04%
Exactly 41.70%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 059.47%
Exactly 130.91%
Exactly 28.03%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 059.67%
Exactly 130.81%
Exactly 27.95%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals14.44%
Wins by 3+ goals4.44%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Reading
Wins by 2+ goals14.22%
Wins by 3+ goals4.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Reading
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal21.21%
Wins by 2 goals10.00%
Wins by 3 goals3.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Reading
Wins by 1 goal21.08%
Wins by 2 goals9.87%
Wins by 3 goals3.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.33%10.67%
1.565.45%34.55%
2.538.74%61.26%
3.518.81%81.19%
4.57.66%92.34%
5.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.45%32.55%
1.530.92%69.08%
2.510.41%89.59%
3.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.22%32.78%
1.530.66%69.34%
2.510.27%89.73%
3.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.51%35.49%
1.527.75%72.25%
2.58.70%91.30%
3.52.13%97.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Reading
Score012345
0
10.67%
11.90%
6.64%
2.47%
0.69%
0.15%
1
11.98%
13.36%
7.45%
2.77%
0.77%
0.17%
2
6.72%
7.50%
4.18%
1.55%
0.43%
0.10%
3
2.51%
2.80%
1.56%
0.58%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.71%
0.79%
0.44%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-011.98%
2-06.72%
2-17.50%
3-02.51%
3-12.80%
3-21.56%
4-00.71%
4-10.79%
4-20.44%
4-30.16%
5-00.16%
5-10.18%
Draw
0-010.67%
1-113.36%
2-24.18%
3-30.58%
Reading
0-111.90%
0-26.64%
1-27.45%
0-32.47%
1-32.77%
2-31.55%
0-40.69%
1-40.77%
2-40.43%
3-40.16%
0-50.15%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Reading
Score01234
0
35.49%
18.32%
4.73%
0.81%
0.11%
1
18.44%
9.52%
2.46%
0.42%
0.05%
2
4.79%
2.47%
0.64%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.83%
0.43%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Millwall
1-018.44%
2-04.79%
2-12.47%
3-00.83%
3-10.43%
3-20.11%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-035.49%
1-19.52%
2-20.64%
Reading
0-118.32%
0-24.73%
1-22.46%
0-30.81%
1-30.42%
2-30.11%
0-40.11%