Preston at Birmingham City

Updated

Preston North End

33.4%29.4%37.2%
Preston WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.12
2Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Preston North End
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Norwich City+195
W 1-0 at Stoke City+270
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+375
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield-110
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 2-4 at Bristol City+240
L 3-1 vs Middlesbrough+270
L 1-0 vs Hull City+105
L 0-3 at Burnley+550
W 2-3 vs Reading+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Preston+170+245+240+225+217+225+245+255.1
Birmingham City+170+131+130+128+118+128+131+144.2
Draw+205+214+210+200+189+200+214+223.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Preston+225---+225+225+225+255.1
Birmingham City+135---+110+135+135+144.2
Draw+215---+190+215+215+223.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Preston: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Preston: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Preston ML moved from +248 to +217
Birmingham City ML moved from +124 to +118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Preston: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Preston: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Preston: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Preston ML moved from +240 to +220
Birmingham City ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-120o2-115o2-112o2-114o2-112o2-112o2-106
Underu2¼-122u2+102u2-105u2-108u2-101u2-108u2+102u2+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-106
Under-----u2+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.55%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 410.44%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 124.94%
Exactly 319.36%
Exactly 54.51%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Preston North End
Exactly 035.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.15%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 032.76%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 42.12%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.82%
Exactly 218.38%
Exactly 41.53%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.12%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Preston North End
Exactly 061.72%
Exactly 129.78%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 059.65%
Exactly 130.82%
Exactly 27.96%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Preston North End
Wins by 2+ goals12.79%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals15.05%
Wins by 3+ goals4.63%
Wins by 4+ goals1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Preston North End
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Preston North End
Wins by 1 goal20.54%
Wins by 2 goals9.09%
Wins by 3 goals2.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal22.00%
Wins by 2 goals10.42%
Wins by 3 goals3.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.45%11.55%
1.563.51%36.49%
2.536.60%63.40%
3.517.25%82.75%
4.56.80%93.20%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Preston North End Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.73%35.27%
1.527.97%72.03%
2.58.82%91.18%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.24%32.76%
1.530.68%69.32%
2.510.28%89.72%
3.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.18%36.82%
1.526.39%73.61%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.89%98.11%

Score Props

Correct Score

Preston
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
11.55%
12.89%
7.20%
2.68%
0.75%
0.17%
1
12.04%
13.44%
7.50%
2.79%
0.78%
0.17%
2
6.27%
7.00%
3.91%
1.45%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.18%
2.43%
1.36%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.57%
0.63%
0.35%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Preston North End
1-012.04%
2-06.27%
2-17.00%
3-02.18%
3-12.43%
3-21.36%
4-00.57%
4-10.63%
4-20.35%
4-30.13%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-011.55%
1-113.44%
2-23.91%
3-30.50%
Birmingham City
0-112.89%
0-27.20%
1-27.50%
0-32.68%
1-32.79%
2-31.45%
0-40.75%
1-40.78%
2-40.41%
3-40.14%
0-50.17%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Preston
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
36.82%
19.02%
4.91%
0.85%
0.11%
1
17.76%
9.18%
2.37%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.29%
2.21%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.69%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Preston North End
1-017.76%
2-04.29%
2-12.21%
3-00.69%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-036.82%
1-19.18%
2-20.57%
Birmingham City
0-119.02%
0-24.91%
1-22.37%
0-30.85%
1-30.41%
0-40.11%