Wrexham at Derby County

Updated

Wrexham

29.9%26.5%43.6%
Wrexham WinDrawDerby County Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.40
2Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Wrexham
Money Line
W 2-0 at Blackburn+245
W 1-2 vs Preston North End+125
W 3-5 vs Sheffield United+205
L 1-2 at Swansea City+230
T 2-2 vs Watford+175
Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Middlesbrough+200
L 1-2 at Leicester City+255
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+335
T 1-1 vs Portsmouth-100
W 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wrexham+234+260+240+225+225+225+260+251.3
Derby County+122+124+115+129+129+129+129+147.6
Draw+214+220+205+197+197+197+220+221.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wrexham+225----+255+255+251.3
Derby County+130----+120+120+147.6
Draw+225----+220+220+221.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wrexham: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wrexham: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wrexham: 30.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wrexham ML moved from +240 to +225
Derby County ML moved from +140 to +129

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wrexham: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wrexham: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wrexham: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Wrexham ML
Derby County ML moved from +135 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-109o2-125o2-122o2-111o2-111o2-111o2-111o2-101
Underu2¼-111u2+110u2+102u2-109u2-109u2-109u2+110u2+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110----o2-120o2-120o2-101
Underu2-110----u2+100u2+100u2+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-110 to o2-150
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.05%
Exactly 225.55%
Exactly 413.52%
Exactly 62.86%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.28%
Exactly 321.46%
Exactly 56.81%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Wrexham
Exactly 032.79%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.39%
Exactly 37.58%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 024.54%
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 311.34%
Exactly 43.98%
Exactly 51.12%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.14%
Exactly 221.19%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.24%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wrexham
Exactly 059.67%
Exactly 130.81%
Exactly 27.95%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 052.18%
Exactly 133.94%
Exactly 211.04%
Exactly 32.39%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Wrexham
Wins by 2+ goals11.68%
Wins by 3+ goals3.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals20.72%
Wins by 3+ goals7.74%
Wins by 4+ goals2.32%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Wrexham
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Wrexham
Wins by 1 goal18.10%
Wins by 2 goals8.18%
Wins by 3 goals2.70%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.80%
Wins by 2 goals12.99%
Wins by 3 goals5.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.95%8.05%
1.571.68%28.32%
2.546.13%53.87%
3.524.67%75.33%
4.511.15%88.85%
5.54.34%95.66%
6.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Wrexham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.21%32.79%
1.530.65%69.35%
2.510.27%89.73%
3.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.46%24.54%
1.540.98%59.02%
2.516.76%83.24%
3.55.43%94.57%
4.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.86%31.14%
1.532.53%67.47%
2.511.34%88.66%
3.53.10%96.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Wrexham
Derby County
Score012345
0
8.05%
11.30%
7.94%
3.72%
1.31%
0.37%
1
8.97%
12.61%
8.85%
4.15%
1.46%
0.41%
2
5.00%
7.03%
4.94%
2.31%
0.81%
0.23%
3
1.86%
2.61%
1.84%
0.86%
0.30%
0.08%
4
0.52%
0.73%
0.51%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.16%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.01%
Wrexham
1-08.97%
2-05.00%
2-17.03%
3-01.86%
3-12.61%
3-21.84%
4-00.52%
4-10.73%
4-20.51%
4-30.24%
5-00.12%
5-10.16%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-08.05%
1-112.61%
2-24.94%
3-30.86%
Derby County
0-111.30%
0-27.94%
1-28.85%
0-33.72%
1-34.15%
2-32.31%
0-41.31%
1-41.46%
2-40.81%
3-40.30%
0-50.37%
1-50.41%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Wrexham
Derby County
Score01234
0
31.14%
20.25%
6.59%
1.43%
0.23%
1
16.08%
10.46%
3.40%
0.74%
0.12%
2
4.15%
2.70%
0.88%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.71%
0.46%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Wrexham
1-016.08%
2-04.15%
2-12.70%
3-00.71%
3-10.46%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-031.14%
1-110.46%
2-20.88%
Derby County
0-120.25%
0-26.59%
1-23.40%
0-31.43%
1-30.74%
2-30.19%
0-40.23%
1-40.12%