Middlesbrough at Derby County

Updated

Middlesbrough

39.8%28.3%31.9%
Middlesbrough WinDrawDerby County Win
1.23Projected Goals 1.06
0Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Hull City-150
T 0-0 vs Blackburn-135
L 0-2 at Bristol City+150
W 1-3 vs Queens Park Rangers-115
W 2-1 at Charlton Athletic+115
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Leicester City+255
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+335
T 1-1 vs Portsmouth-100
W 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+110
T 1-1 vs Millwall+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+132+148+137+142+142+142+148+161.7
Derby County+195+200+188+185+185+185+200+208.2
Draw+215+235+215+215+215+215+235+240.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+130----+145+145+161.7
Derby County+215----+200+200+208.2
Draw+235----+225+225+240.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +139 to +132
Derby County ML moved from +195 to +188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
Derby County ML moved from +215 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-111o2¼-112o2¼-112o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-111o2¼-101
Underu2¼-109u2¼-101u2¼-108u2¼-109u2¼-109u2¼-109u2¼-101u2¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-101
Under-----u2¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.13%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.60%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.20%
Exactly 320.26%
Exactly 55.31%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 029.39%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 034.48%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 36.94%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.65%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 056.73%
Exactly 132.16%
Exactly 29.12%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.08%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals17.30%
Wins by 3+ goals5.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals12.27%
Wins by 3+ goals3.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal22.46%
Wins by 2 goals11.49%
Wins by 3 goals4.25%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal19.53%
Wins by 2 goals8.68%
Wins by 3 goals2.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.87%10.13%
1.566.67%33.33%
2.540.11%59.89%
3.519.85%80.15%
4.58.25%91.75%
5.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.61%29.39%
1.534.62%65.38%
2.512.59%87.41%
3.53.59%96.41%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.52%34.48%
1.528.80%71.20%
2.59.26%90.74%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.35%34.65%
1.528.63%71.37%
2.59.16%90.84%
3.52.29%97.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.13%
10.79%
5.74%
2.04%
0.54%
0.12%
1
12.41%
13.21%
7.03%
2.50%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.60%
8.09%
4.31%
1.53%
0.41%
0.09%
3
3.10%
3.30%
1.76%
0.62%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.95%
1.01%
0.54%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.25%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-012.41%
2-07.60%
2-18.09%
3-03.10%
3-13.30%
3-21.76%
4-00.95%
4-11.01%
4-20.54%
4-30.19%
5-00.23%
5-10.25%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.13%
1-113.21%
2-24.31%
3-30.62%
Derby County
0-110.79%
0-25.74%
1-27.03%
0-32.04%
1-32.50%
2-31.53%
0-40.54%
1-40.66%
2-40.41%
3-40.17%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score0123
0
34.65%
17.08%
4.21%
0.69%
1
19.64%
9.68%
2.39%
0.39%
2
5.57%
2.75%
0.68%
0.11%
3
1.05%
0.52%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-019.64%
2-05.57%
2-12.75%
3-01.05%
3-10.52%
3-20.13%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-034.65%
1-19.68%
2-20.68%
Derby County
0-117.08%
0-24.21%
1-22.39%
0-30.69%
1-30.39%
2-30.11%
Coventry City at Charlton Ath
Portsmouth at Bristol City