Stoke City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Stoke City

17.4%22.9%59.7%
WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.79
1Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 5-1 at Sunderland+230
L 1-0 vs Millwall+130
W 3-1 at Swansea City+240
L 0-1 at Blackpool+135
W 0-3 vs Huddersfield-120
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 3-1 at Swansea City+115
W 0-5 vs Reading-265
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+235
W 1-3 vs Queens Park Rangers-175
W 3-1 at Sheffield United+265

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+360+409+400+355+412+355+412+392.0
Middlesbrough-130-143-150-149-139-149-139-123.9
Draw+260+292+285+280+299+280+299+310.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+350---+350+400+400+392.0
Middlesbrough-125----165-145-145-123.9
Draw+265---+255+285+285+310.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +421 to +414
Middlesbrough ML moved from -133 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +410 to +395
Middlesbrough ML moved from -150 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-117o2½-115o2½-113o2½-109o2½-113o2½-109o2½-103
Underu2½-115u2½-101u2½-105u2½-107u2½-106u2½-107u2½-101u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.7%
 
No52.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.12%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 414.46%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.81%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.64%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 042.77%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.42%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 016.64%
Exactly 129.84%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 315.99%
Exactly 47.17%
Exactly 52.57%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.42%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 067.49%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 043.59%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.02%
Exactly 34.16%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals5.42%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals34.38%
Wins by 3+ goals15.90%
Wins by 4+ goals6.02%
Wins by 5+ goals1.89%
Wins by 6+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal11.98%
Wins by 2 goals4.14%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal25.29%
Wins by 2 goals18.48%
Wins by 3 goals9.88%
Wins by 4 goals4.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.41%
Wins by 6 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.88%7.12%
1.574.07%25.93%
2.549.22%50.78%
3.527.33%72.67%
4.512.86%87.14%
5.55.22%94.78%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.23%42.77%
1.520.90%79.10%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.36%16.64%
1.553.51%46.49%
2.526.76%73.24%
3.510.76%89.24%
4.53.59%96.41%
5.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.58%29.42%
1.534.58%65.42%
2.512.56%87.44%
3.53.58%96.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
7.12%
12.77%
11.45%
6.84%
3.07%
1.10%
1
6.05%
10.84%
9.72%
5.81%
2.60%
0.93%
2
2.57%
4.60%
4.13%
2.47%
1.11%
0.40%
3
0.73%
1.30%
1.17%
0.70%
0.31%
0.11%
4
0.15%
0.28%
0.25%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-06.05%
2-02.57%
2-14.60%
3-00.73%
3-11.30%
3-21.17%
4-00.15%
4-10.28%
4-20.25%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-07.12%
1-110.84%
2-24.13%
3-30.70%
Middlesbrough
0-112.77%
0-211.45%
1-29.72%
0-36.84%
1-35.81%
2-32.47%
0-43.07%
1-42.60%
2-41.11%
3-40.31%
0-51.10%
1-50.93%
2-50.40%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
29.42%
24.43%
10.14%
2.81%
0.58%
1
11.57%
9.60%
3.99%
1.10%
0.23%
2
2.27%
1.89%
0.78%
0.22%
0.05%
3
0.30%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-011.57%
2-02.27%
2-11.89%
3-00.30%
3-10.25%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-029.42%
1-19.60%
2-20.78%
Middlesbrough
0-124.43%
0-210.14%
1-23.99%
0-32.81%
1-31.10%
2-30.22%
0-40.58%
1-40.23%