England Championship Predictions

Updated 1 day ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Cardiff City Rotherham United	27.2% 46.1%	26.7%	+123 +238 +120 +230	2 5	-1.24981-1.24434	-0.77536
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Watford Middlesbrough	19.4% 57.0%	23.6%	+332 -128 +340 -140	1 3	-0.60510-0.58927	-0.56214
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Norwich City Birmingham City	32.1% 39.1%	28.8%	+176 +147 +175 +135	0 1	-0.94240-0.90217	-0.93966
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Bristol City Stoke City	20.1% 56.4%	23.6%	+219 +122 +250 +105	0 4	-0.83255-0.76787	-0.57339
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Queens Park Rangers Coventry City	18.0% 59.5%	22.5%	+260 -101 +190 +135	2 1	-1.30893-1.11544	-1.71330
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Millwall Swansea City	23.8% 50.3%	25.9%	+280 +105 +270 +100	1 0	-1.36109-1.35899	-1.43376
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Hull City Plymouth Argyle	30.5% 42.9%	26.5%	-120 +295 -115 +275	0 1	-1.40601-1.36336	-0.84621
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Sheffield Wednesday Sunderland	28.1% 44.7%	27.1%	+220 +132 +180 +160	2 0	-1.19356-1.07790	-1.26986
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Preston North End West Bromwich Albion	12.7% 67.6%	19.7%	+645 -198 +800 -245	0 3	-0.44768-0.39217	-0.39147
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Southampton Leeds United	22.0% 55.1%	22.8%	+378 -145 +425 -175	2 1	-1.58988-1.70849	-1.51331
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Blackburn Leicester City	11.8% 70.9%	17.3%	+500 -185 +460 -170	2 0	-1.82437-1.77355	-2.14072
05/04/2024 11:30 AM	Huddersfield Ipswich Town	17.2% 60.2%	22.6%	+1080 -392 +1015 -430	0 2	-0.25750-0.26029	-0.50778
04/30/2024 07:00 PM	Ipswich Town Coventry City	28.3% 44.0%	27.7%	-124 +325 -130 +325	2 1	-0.62133-0.61687	-1.26348
04/29/2024 07:00 PM	Leicester City Preston North End	52.8% 22.9%	24.3%	-128 +330 -140 +335	3 0	-0.60888-0.58906	-0.63906
04/27/2024 07:00 PM	Ipswich Town Hull City	36.6% 34.8%	28.6%	+152 +185 +140 +185	3 3	-1.32614-1.31502	-1.25246
04/27/2024 02:00 PM	Middlesbrough Cardiff City	44.6% 28.8%	26.6%	-120 +343 -125 +315	4 1	-0.62895-0.63936	-0.80764

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/28/24

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
1	Leicester City (30-10-4, 94 pts)	31.1	10.4	4.5	97.7	97.6%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Leeds United (27-9-9, 90 pts)	27.3	9.4	9.3	91.3	0.0%	29.3%	70.7%	0.0%
3	Ipswich Town (26-6-12, 90 pts)	26.8	6.6	12.6	93.0	2.4%	70.7%	29.3%	0.0%
4	Southampton (25-11-9, 84 pts)	25.4	11.3	9.3	85.4	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Norwich City (21-14-10, 73 pts)	21.5	14.2	10.3	74.8	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	West Bromwich Albion (20-13-12, 72 pts)	20.4	13.3	12.3	73.6	0.0%	0.0%	87.8%	0.0%
7	Hull City (19-13-13, 70 pts)	19.4	13.3	13.3	71.6	0.0%	0.0%	12.2%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (19-17-9, 66 pts)	19.4	17.4	9.3	67.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Coventry City (17-14-13, 64 pts)	17.6	14.8	13.6	66.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Preston North End (18-17-9, 63 pts)	18.4	18.1	9.5	64.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Bristol City (17-17-11, 62 pts)	17.4	17.3	11.3	63.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Cardiff City (19-21-5, 62 pts)	19.4	21.3	5.3	63.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Swansea City (15-18-12, 57 pts)	15.3	18.4	12.3	58.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Watford (13-15-17, 56 pts)	13.4	15.4	17.3	57.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Sunderland (16-21-8, 56 pts)	16.3	21.4	8.3	57.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Millwall (15-19-11, 56 pts)	15.4	19.3	11.3	57.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	Queens Park Rangers (14-20-11, 53 pts)	14.3	20.4	11.3	54.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	Stoke City (14-20-11, 53 pts)	14.3	20.4	11.3	54.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
19	Blackburn (13-21-11, 50 pts)	13.3	21.4	11.3	51.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.8%
20	Sheffield Wednesday (14-23-8, 50 pts)	14.4	23.3	8.3	51.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.8%
21	Plymouth Argyle (12-21-12, 48 pts)	12.3	21.4	12.3	49.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.2%
22	Birmingham City (12-22-11, 47 pts)	12.2	22.5	11.3	48.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	80.2%
23	Huddersfield (9-18-18, 45 pts)	9.3	18.4	18.3	46.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
24	Rotherham United (4-29-12, 24 pts)	4.3	29.4	12.3	25.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.