Manchester City at Leeds United

Updated

Manchester City

60.9%21.2%17.9%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
1.99Projected Goals 0.97
1Final Score 0

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Newcastle United-190
W 0-3 vs Fulham-285
W 2-1 at Liverpool+208
T 2-2 at Tottenham-146
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-350
Leeds United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Aston Villa+350
T 2-2 at Chelsea+525
W 1-3 vs Nottingham Forest+120
L 4-0 vs Arsenal+555
T 1-1 at Everton+202

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-168-139-145-146-146-146-139-134.3
Leeds United+390+410+375+410+410+410+410+428.0
Draw+345+290+295+307+307+307+307+321.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-170--141-165-170-160-141-134.3
Leeds United+400-+365+380+390+425+425+428.0
Draw+350-+305+300+290+310+310+321.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -154 to -160
Leeds United ML moved from +410 to +400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 10.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Leeds United: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -170 to -180
Leeds United ML moved from +405 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o2½-120o2½-120o2½-123o2½-123o2½-123o2½-120o2½-114
Underu2¾+105u2½+109u2½+100u2½+107u2½+107u2½+107u2½+109u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-150o2½-125o2½-125o2½-115o2½-130o2½-120o2½-115o2½-114
Underu2½+130u2½+105u2½+105u2½-105u2½+100u2½+100u2½+105u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-125
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.7%
 
No46.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.19%
Exactly 222.71%
Exactly 416.57%
Exactly 64.84%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.35%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.81%
Exactly 72.04%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 013.73%
Exactly 127.26%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.92%
Exactly 48.89%
Exactly 53.53%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 037.78%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.41%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 310.89%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 039.87%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.85%
Exactly 35.17%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 063.72%
Exactly 128.72%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals36.77%
Wins by 3+ goals18.14%
Wins by 4+ goals7.40%
Wins by 5+ goals2.51%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals6.04%
Wins by 3+ goals1.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Leeds United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals18.63%
Wins by 3 goals10.74%
Wins by 4 goals4.89%
Wins by 5 goals1.82%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal11.78%
Wins by 2 goals4.47%
Wins by 3 goals1.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.81%5.19%
1.579.47%20.53%
2.556.76%43.24%
3.534.36%65.64%
4.517.79%82.21%
5.57.99%92.01%
6.53.15%96.85%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.27%13.73%
1.559.01%40.99%
2.531.95%68.05%
3.514.03%85.97%
4.55.14%94.86%
5.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.22%37.78%
1.525.45%74.55%
2.57.55%92.45%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.59%25.41%
1.539.78%60.22%
2.515.93%84.07%
3.55.04%94.96%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Leeds United
Score01234
0
5.19%
5.05%
2.46%
0.80%
0.19%
1
10.30%
10.02%
4.88%
1.58%
0.39%
2
10.23%
9.95%
4.84%
1.57%
0.38%
3
6.77%
6.59%
3.21%
1.04%
0.25%
4
3.36%
3.27%
1.59%
0.52%
0.13%
5
1.33%
1.30%
0.63%
0.21%
0.05%
Manchester City
1-010.30%
2-010.23%
2-19.95%
3-06.77%
3-16.59%
3-23.21%
4-03.36%
4-13.27%
4-21.59%
4-30.52%
5-01.33%
5-11.30%
5-20.63%
5-30.21%
Draw
0-05.19%
1-110.02%
2-24.84%
3-31.04%
4-40.13%
Leeds United
0-15.05%
0-22.46%
1-24.88%
0-30.80%
1-31.58%
2-31.57%
0-40.19%
1-40.39%
2-40.38%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Leeds United
Score0123
0
25.41%
11.45%
2.58%
0.39%
1
23.36%
10.53%
2.37%
0.36%
2
10.74%
4.84%
1.09%
0.16%
3
3.29%
1.48%
0.33%
0.05%
4
0.76%
0.34%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-023.36%
2-010.74%
2-14.84%
3-03.29%
3-11.48%
3-20.33%
4-00.76%
4-10.34%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-025.41%
1-110.53%
2-21.09%
Leeds United
0-111.45%
0-22.58%
1-22.37%
0-30.39%
1-30.36%
2-30.16%