Manchester City at Liverpool

Updated

Manchester City

30.9%25.1%44.0%
Manchester City WinDrawLiverpool Win
1.24Projected Goals 1.54
2Final Score 1

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Tottenham-146
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-350
L 0-2 at Manchester United+125
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-195
T 1-1 vs Chelsea-195
Liverpool
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Newcastle United-150
L 2-3 at Bournemouth-135
T 1-1 vs Burnley-435
T 0-0 at Arsenal+490
T 2-2 at Fulham-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+171+220+212+217+217+217+220+228.3
Liverpool+144+115+113+115+115+115+115+122.7
Draw+265+285+280+292+292+292+292+306.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+185-+208+190+190+200+208+228.3
Liverpool+135-+113+115+110+120+120+122.7
Draw+265-+290+270+270+280+290+306.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +212 to +205
Liverpool ML moved from +126 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +180 to +170
Liverpool ML moved from +130 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3¼+101o3¼-105o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+101o3¼+107
Underu3-112u3¼-111u3¼-115u3¼-116u3¼-116u3¼-116u3¼-111u3¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-140o3-140o3-140o3½+110o3½+120o3-140o3¼+107
Underu3-110u3+120u3+120u3+120u3½-140u3½-140u3½-140u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.9%
 
No44.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.20%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 415.45%
Exactly 63.98%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.24%
Exactly 322.22%
Exactly 58.59%
Exactly 71.58%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 028.79%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 39.26%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 021.53%
Exactly 133.07%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 312.99%
Exactly 44.99%
Exactly 51.53%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.60%
Exactly 222.87%
Exactly 43.16%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.53%
Exactly 39.82%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 056.18%
Exactly 132.39%
Exactly 29.34%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 049.12%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 212.41%
Exactly 32.94%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals12.99%
Wins by 3+ goals4.28%
Wins by 4+ goals1.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals21.91%
Wins by 3+ goals8.67%
Wins by 4+ goals2.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Liverpool
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal17.86%
Wins by 2 goals8.70%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal22.03%
Wins by 2 goals13.23%
Wins by 3 goals5.91%
Wins by 4 goals2.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.58%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.80%6.20%
1.576.56%23.44%
2.552.60%47.40%
3.530.38%69.62%
4.514.94%85.06%
5.56.35%93.65%
6.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.21%28.79%
1.535.37%64.63%
2.513.05%86.95%
3.53.78%96.22%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.47%21.53%
1.545.40%54.60%
2.520.01%79.99%
3.57.02%92.98%
4.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.40%27.60%
1.536.88%63.12%
2.514.00%86.00%
3.54.19%95.81%
4.51.03%98.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Liverpool
Score012345
0
6.20%
9.52%
7.31%
3.74%
1.44%
0.44%
1
7.72%
11.85%
9.10%
4.66%
1.79%
0.55%
2
4.81%
7.38%
5.67%
2.90%
1.11%
0.34%
3
1.99%
3.06%
2.35%
1.20%
0.46%
0.14%
4
0.62%
0.95%
0.73%
0.37%
0.14%
0.04%
5
0.15%
0.24%
0.18%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-07.72%
2-04.81%
2-17.38%
3-01.99%
3-13.06%
3-22.35%
4-00.62%
4-10.95%
4-20.73%
4-30.37%
5-00.15%
5-10.24%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-06.20%
1-111.85%
2-25.67%
3-31.20%
4-40.14%
Liverpool
0-19.52%
0-27.31%
1-29.10%
0-33.74%
1-34.66%
2-32.90%
0-41.44%
1-41.79%
2-41.11%
3-40.46%
0-50.44%
1-50.55%
2-50.34%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Liverpool
Score01234
0
27.60%
19.62%
6.97%
1.65%
0.29%
1
15.91%
11.31%
4.02%
0.95%
0.17%
2
4.59%
3.26%
1.16%
0.27%
0.05%
3
0.88%
0.63%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-015.91%
2-04.59%
2-13.26%
3-00.88%
3-10.63%
3-20.22%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-027.60%
1-111.31%
2-21.16%
Liverpool
0-119.62%
0-26.97%
1-24.02%
0-31.65%
1-30.95%
2-30.27%
0-40.29%
1-40.17%