Newcastle Utd at Arsenal

Updated

Newcastle United

18.6%15.9%65.5%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.38
0Final Score 2

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Brentford+145
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+525
L 3-0 vs Chelsea+740
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+328
L 3-2 vs Tottenham+251
Arsenal
Money Line
L 0-4 at Liverpool+530
W 0-1 vs Watford-234
W 2-0 at Leicester City+177
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa+100
T 2-2 vs Crystal Palace-166

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+525+500+560+577+534+560+577+541.8
Arsenal-215-210-200-190-217-200-190-172.5
Draw+380+370+360+352+360+360+370+373.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+540-+505-+500+530+530+541.8
Arsenal-210--198--250-210-198-172.5
Draw+400-+349-+300+360+360+373.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Arsenal: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 40.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +560 to +550
Arsenal ML moved from -209 to -217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Arsenal: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +550 to +530
Arsenal ML moved from -210 to -220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2¾-125o2¾-122o3+106-o2¾-122o2¾-122o2¾-112
Underu3-115u2¾+105u2¾+102u3-121-u2¾+102u3-121u2¾+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3+100o3+105-o3-105o3+105o3+105o2¾-112
Underu3-115u3-120u3-125-u3-125u3-125u3-120u2¾+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.7%
 
No55.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.68%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 417.13%
Exactly 65.35%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.34%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.49%
Exactly 72.34%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 050.76%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 211.67%
Exactly 32.64%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 09.23%
Exactly 121.99%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 320.81%
Exactly 412.40%
Exactly 55.91%
Exactly 62.35%
Exactly 70.80%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.24%
Exactly 224.34%
Exactly 44.07%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.35%
Exactly 311.50%
Exactly 51.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 073.06%
Exactly 122.93%
Exactly 23.60%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 033.18%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 37.43%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals2.16%
Wins by 3+ goals0.38%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals52.29%
Wins by 3+ goals30.22%
Wins by 4+ goals14.63%
Wins by 5+ goals6.01%
Wins by 6+ goals2.10%
Wins by 7+ goals0.61%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal6.52%
Wins by 2 goals1.77%
Wins by 3 goals0.34%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal22.96%
Wins by 2 goals22.08%
Wins by 3 goals15.59%
Wins by 4 goals8.62%
Wins by 5 goals3.91%
Wins by 6 goals1.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.49%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.32%4.68%
1.580.98%19.02%
2.559.03%40.97%
3.536.64%63.36%
4.519.51%80.49%
5.59.02%90.98%
6.53.67%96.33%
7.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.24%50.76%
1.514.82%85.18%
2.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.77%9.23%
1.568.78%31.22%
2.542.58%57.42%
3.521.77%78.23%
4.59.37%90.63%
5.53.47%96.53%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.76%24.24%
1.541.41%58.59%
2.517.07%82.93%
3.55.57%94.43%
4.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Arsenal
Score012345
0
4.68%
11.16%
13.30%
10.56%
6.29%
3.00%
1
3.18%
7.57%
9.02%
7.16%
4.27%
2.03%
2
1.08%
2.57%
3.06%
2.43%
1.45%
0.69%
3
0.24%
0.58%
0.69%
0.55%
0.33%
0.16%
Newcastle United
1-03.18%
2-01.08%
2-12.57%
3-00.24%
3-10.58%
3-20.69%
Draw
0-04.68%
1-17.57%
2-23.06%
3-30.55%
Arsenal
0-111.16%
0-213.30%
1-29.02%
0-310.56%
1-37.16%
2-32.43%
0-46.29%
1-44.27%
2-41.45%
3-40.33%
0-53.00%
1-52.03%
2-50.69%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Arsenal
Score012345
0
24.24%
26.74%
14.75%
5.43%
1.50%
0.33%
1
7.61%
8.39%
4.63%
1.70%
0.47%
0.10%
2
1.19%
1.32%
0.73%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-07.61%
2-01.19%
2-11.32%
3-00.12%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-024.24%
1-18.39%
2-20.73%
Arsenal
0-126.74%
0-214.75%
1-24.63%
0-35.43%
1-31.70%
2-30.27%
0-41.50%
1-40.47%
0-50.33%
1-50.10%