Aston Villa at Arsenal

Updated

Aston Villa

26.5%22.6%50.9%
Aston Villa WinDrawArsenal Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.84
1Final Score 3

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Wolverhampton+120
L 1-2 at Tottenham+255
W 1-0 at Manchester United+685
W 0-3 vs Everton+125
L 0-3 at Chelsea+890
Arsenal
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Crystal Palace-166
T 0-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+140
W 1-3 vs Tottenham+118
W 1-0 at Burnley+100
W 0-1 vs Norwich City-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+285+285+280+287+310+280+310+296.0
Arsenal-105-110+100+104-116+100+104+108.8
Draw+260+270+270+264+257+270+270+272.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+310-+268-+285+285+285+296.0
Arsenal-110-+100--135-105+100+108.8
Draw+255-+255-+240+255+255+272.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Arsenal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 50.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +285 to +265
Arsenal ML moved from +100 to -106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Arsenal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +310 to +285
Arsenal ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-122o2¾-106o2¾+106-o2¾-106o2½-122o2¾+111
Underu2½-105u2½+102u2¾-114u2¾-116-u2¾-114u2¾-114u2¾-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-130o2½-128-o2½-130o2½-135o2½-128o2¾+111
Underu2½-105u2½+110u2½+108-u2½+100u2½+115u2½+115u2¾-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.13%
Exactly 223.89%
Exactly 415.52%
Exactly 64.03%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.11%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.67%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 038.45%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.56%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 015.94%
Exactly 129.27%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 316.45%
Exactly 47.55%
Exactly 52.77%
Exactly 60.85%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.45%
Exactly 222.94%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 39.89%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 064.24%
Exactly 128.43%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 042.73%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.45%
Exactly 34.38%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals6.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals33.51%
Wins by 3+ goals15.64%
Wins by 4+ goals6.00%
Wins by 5+ goals1.91%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Arsenal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal12.74%
Wins by 2 goals4.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.48%
Wins by 2 goals17.87%
Wins by 3 goals9.64%
Wins by 4 goals4.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.42%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.87%6.13%
1.576.76%23.24%
2.552.87%47.13%
3.530.64%69.36%
4.515.11%84.89%
5.56.45%93.55%
6.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.55%38.45%
1.524.80%75.20%
2.57.24%92.76%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.06%15.94%
1.554.79%45.21%
2.527.92%72.08%
3.511.47%88.53%
4.53.91%96.09%
5.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.55%27.45%
1.537.07%62.93%
2.514.13%85.87%
3.54.24%95.76%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Arsenal
Score012345
0
6.13%
11.25%
10.33%
6.33%
2.90%
1.07%
1
5.86%
10.76%
9.88%
6.05%
2.78%
1.02%
2
2.80%
5.14%
4.72%
2.89%
1.33%
0.49%
3
0.89%
1.64%
1.50%
0.92%
0.42%
0.16%
4
0.21%
0.39%
0.36%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Aston Villa
1-05.86%
2-02.80%
2-15.14%
3-00.89%
3-11.64%
3-21.50%
4-00.21%
4-10.39%
4-20.36%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.13%
1-110.76%
2-24.72%
3-30.92%
4-40.10%
Arsenal
0-111.25%
0-210.33%
1-29.88%
0-36.33%
1-36.05%
2-32.89%
0-42.90%
1-42.78%
2-41.33%
3-40.42%
0-51.07%
1-51.02%
2-50.49%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Arsenal
Score012345
0
27.45%
23.34%
9.92%
2.81%
0.60%
0.10%
1
12.15%
10.33%
4.39%
1.24%
0.26%
0.05%
2
2.69%
2.29%
0.97%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.40%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-012.15%
2-02.69%
2-12.29%
3-00.40%
3-10.34%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.45%
1-110.33%
2-20.97%
Arsenal
0-123.34%
0-29.92%
1-24.39%
0-32.81%
1-31.24%
2-30.28%
0-40.60%
1-40.26%
0-50.10%