Leeds United at Watford

Updated

Leeds United

36.3%28.7%35.0%
Leeds United WinDrawWatford Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.11
3Final Score 0

Watford

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Southampton+141
W 3-2 at Wolverhampton+270
W 1-2 vs Norwich City-165
L 3-0 vs Aston Villa+185
L 0-1 at Leicester City+317
Watford
Money Line
L 0-2 at Liverpool+2000
W 2-1 at Southampton+435
L 0-4 at Wolverhampton+380
L 3-2 vs Arsenal+600
T 0-0 at Manchester United+750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+141+150+155+163+150+155+163+166.4
Watford+170+180+185+184+170+185+185+193.6
Draw+261+225+240+247+250+240+250+252.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+160-+161-+140+150+161+166.4
Watford+165-+170-+145+180+180+193.6
Draw+250-+234-+230+240+240+252.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +171 to +164
Watford ML moved from +170 to +161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +160 to +150
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2½-118o2½-113o2½-112-o2½-113o2½-112o2½-104
Underu2¾-122u2½-102u2½-103u2½-103-u2½-103u2½-102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-115o2½-131-o2½-130o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2½+105u2½-105u2½+111-u2½+100u2½-105u2½+111u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-112 to o2½-142
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.49%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 411.30%
Exactly 61.92%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.65%
Exactly 320.04%
Exactly 55.10%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 031.97%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.79%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 42.25%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 032.80%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.38%
Exactly 37.57%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.20%
Exactly 219.19%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.68%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 058.98%
Exactly 131.14%
Exactly 28.22%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 059.68%
Exactly 130.80%
Exactly 27.95%
Exactly 31.37%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals14.82%
Wins by 3+ goals4.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals14.04%
Wins by 3+ goals4.28%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal21.35%
Wins by 2 goals10.21%
Wins by 3 goals3.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal20.87%
Wins by 2 goals9.75%
Wins by 3 goals3.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.51%10.49%
1.565.86%34.14%
2.539.20%60.80%
3.519.16%80.84%
4.57.86%92.14%
5.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.03%31.97%
1.531.57%68.43%
2.510.78%89.22%
3.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.20%32.80%
1.530.63%69.37%
2.510.26%89.74%
3.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.80%35.20%
1.528.05%71.95%
2.58.86%91.14%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Watford
Score012345
0
10.49%
11.69%
6.52%
2.42%
0.67%
0.15%
1
11.96%
13.33%
7.43%
2.76%
0.77%
0.17%
2
6.82%
7.60%
4.24%
1.57%
0.44%
0.10%
3
2.59%
2.89%
1.61%
0.60%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.74%
0.82%
0.46%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-011.96%
2-06.82%
2-17.60%
3-02.59%
3-12.89%
3-21.61%
4-00.74%
4-10.82%
4-20.46%
4-30.17%
5-00.17%
5-10.19%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-010.49%
1-113.33%
2-24.24%
3-30.60%
Watford
0-111.69%
0-26.52%
1-27.43%
0-32.42%
1-32.76%
2-31.57%
0-40.67%
1-40.77%
2-40.44%
3-40.17%
0-50.15%
1-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Watford
Score01234
0
35.20%
18.17%
4.69%
0.81%
0.10%
1
18.59%
9.59%
2.48%
0.43%
0.05%
2
4.91%
2.53%
0.65%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.86%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-018.59%
2-04.91%
2-12.53%
3-00.86%
3-10.45%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-035.20%
1-19.59%
2-20.65%
Watford
0-118.17%
0-24.69%
1-22.48%
0-30.81%
1-30.43%
2-30.11%
0-40.10%