Manchester City at Arsenal

Updated

Manchester City

58.3%19.5%22.2%
Manchester City WinDrawArsenal Win
2.09Projected Goals 0.79
2Final Score 1

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Brentford-625
W 3-6 vs Leicester City-825
W 4-0 at Newcastle United-780
W 0-7 vs Leeds United-750
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton-650
Arsenal
Money Line
W 5-0 at Norwich City-202
W 4-1 at Leeds United-170
W 0-2 vs West Ham United+116
W 0-3 vs Southampton-130
L 1-2 at Everton+126

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-200-160-150-148-170-150-148-139.3
Arsenal+500+400+415+424+420+415+424+437.2
Draw+350+300+315+323+321+315+323+331.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-200--163--220-165-163-139.3
Arsenal+500-+426-+410+435+435+437.2
Draw+355-+312-+310+315+315+331.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -175 to -185
Arsenal ML moved from +424 to +418

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -198 to -210
Arsenal ML moved from +446 to +426

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2¾-115o2¾-118o3+123-o2¾-118o3+123o2¾-105
Underu3-115u2¾-105u2¾-102u3-138-u2¾-102u2¾-102u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-105o3+117-o3-115o3+120o3+120o2¾-105
Underu3-105u3-115u3-137-u3-115u3-140u3-115u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-115 to u3-140

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.60%
Exactly 223.27%
Exactly 416.10%
Exactly 64.46%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.15%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.28%
Exactly 71.83%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 012.41%
Exactly 125.90%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 318.79%
Exactly 49.80%
Exactly 54.09%
Exactly 61.42%
Exactly 70.42%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 045.16%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.27%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.34%
Exactly 223.44%
Exactly 43.48%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 310.42%
Exactly 50.93%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 038.06%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.76%
Exactly 35.72%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 069.21%
Exactly 125.47%
Exactly 24.69%
Exactly 30.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals42.79%
Wins by 3+ goals22.28%
Wins by 4+ goals9.63%
Wins by 5+ goals3.51%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals3.81%
Wins by 3+ goals0.84%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Arsenal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.48%
Wins by 2 goals20.51%
Wins by 3 goals12.65%
Wins by 4 goals6.12%
Wins by 5 goals2.42%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal9.33%
Wins by 2 goals2.98%
Wins by 3 goals0.70%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.40%5.60%
1.578.25%21.75%
2.554.98%45.02%
3.532.63%67.37%
4.516.53%83.47%
5.57.25%92.75%
6.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.59%12.41%
1.561.69%38.31%
2.534.68%65.32%
3.515.88%84.12%
4.56.08%93.92%
5.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.84%45.16%
1.518.94%81.06%
2.54.67%95.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.66%26.34%
1.538.52%61.48%
2.515.08%84.92%
3.54.66%95.34%
4.51.18%98.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score0123
0
5.60%
4.46%
1.77%
0.47%
1
11.69%
9.30%
3.70%
0.98%
2
12.20%
9.70%
3.86%
1.02%
3
8.49%
6.75%
2.68%
0.71%
4
4.43%
3.52%
1.40%
0.37%
5
1.85%
1.47%
0.58%
0.15%
Manchester City
1-011.69%
2-012.20%
2-19.70%
3-08.49%
3-16.75%
3-22.68%
4-04.43%
4-13.52%
4-21.40%
4-30.37%
5-01.85%
5-11.47%
5-20.58%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.60%
1-19.30%
2-23.86%
3-30.71%
Arsenal
0-14.46%
0-21.77%
1-23.70%
0-30.47%
1-30.98%
2-31.02%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score0123
0
26.34%
9.69%
1.78%
0.22%
1
25.44%
9.37%
1.72%
0.21%
2
12.29%
4.52%
0.83%
0.10%
3
3.96%
1.46%
0.27%
0.03%
4
0.96%
0.35%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-025.44%
2-012.29%
2-14.52%
3-03.96%
3-11.46%
3-20.27%
4-00.96%
4-10.35%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-026.34%
1-19.37%
2-20.83%
Arsenal
0-19.69%
0-21.78%
1-21.72%
0-30.22%
1-30.21%
2-30.10%