Southampton at Arsenal

Updated

Southampton

26.0%21.9%52.1%
Southampton WinDrawArsenal Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.91
0Final Score 3

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+170
T 2-2 vs Leicester City+132
L 0-4 at Liverpool+1150
L 1-2 at Norwich City+110
W 0-1 vs Aston Villa+105
Arsenal
Money Line
L 1-2 at Everton+126
L 2-3 at Manchester United+250
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United-198
L 0-4 at Liverpool+530
W 0-1 vs Watford-234

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+400+340+360+380+340+360+379+388.7
Arsenal-150-130-135-128-139-135-128-126.1
Draw+285+275+315+292+297+315+315+320.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+440-+348-+375+325+375+388.7
Arsenal-150--134--170-130-130-126.1
Draw+280-+290-+250+300+300+320.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +350 to +340
Arsenal ML moved from -132 to -139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +390 to +331
No Steam Moves On Arsenal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2¾-112o2¾-112o2½-132-o2¾-112o2½-132o2¾-101
Underu2½+102u2¾-108u2¾-108u2½+117-u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-135o2½-132-o2½-135o2½-135o2½-132o2¾-101
Underu2½+105u2½+115u2½+112-u2½+105u2½+115u2½+115u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.67%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 416.03%
Exactly 64.40%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.28%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.20%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 038.49%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 014.74%
Exactly 128.22%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.24%
Exactly 48.25%
Exactly 53.16%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.49%
Exactly 223.37%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 310.35%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 064.27%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 041.21%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.19%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals6.14%
Wins by 3+ goals1.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals35.42%
Wins by 3+ goals17.05%
Wins by 4+ goals6.76%
Wins by 5+ goals2.23%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Arsenal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal12.12%
Wins by 2 goals4.56%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals18.38%
Wins by 3 goals10.29%
Wins by 4 goals4.53%
Wins by 5 goals1.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.33%5.67%
1.578.05%21.95%
2.554.69%45.31%
3.532.36%67.64%
4.516.33%83.67%
5.57.13%92.87%
6.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.51%38.49%
1.524.76%75.24%
2.57.22%92.78%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.26%14.74%
1.557.04%42.96%
2.530.03%69.97%
3.512.78%87.22%
4.54.53%95.47%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.51%26.49%
1.538.33%61.67%
2.514.95%85.05%
3.54.60%95.40%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Arsenal
Score012345
0
5.67%
10.86%
10.40%
6.64%
3.18%
1.22%
1
5.42%
10.37%
9.93%
6.34%
3.03%
1.16%
2
2.59%
4.95%
4.74%
3.02%
1.45%
0.55%
3
0.82%
1.58%
1.51%
0.96%
0.46%
0.18%
4
0.20%
0.38%
0.36%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
Southampton
1-05.42%
2-02.59%
2-14.95%
3-00.82%
3-11.58%
3-21.51%
4-00.20%
4-10.38%
4-20.36%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-05.67%
1-110.37%
2-24.74%
3-30.96%
4-40.11%
Arsenal
0-110.86%
0-210.40%
1-29.93%
0-36.64%
1-36.34%
2-33.02%
0-43.18%
1-43.03%
2-41.45%
3-40.46%
0-51.22%
1-51.16%
2-50.55%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Arsenal
Score012345
0
26.49%
23.48%
10.41%
3.08%
0.68%
0.12%
1
11.71%
10.38%
4.60%
1.36%
0.30%
0.05%
2
2.59%
2.29%
1.02%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.38%
0.34%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-011.71%
2-02.59%
2-12.29%
3-00.38%
3-10.34%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-026.49%
1-110.38%
2-21.02%
Arsenal
0-123.48%
0-210.41%
1-24.60%
0-33.08%
1-31.36%
2-30.30%
0-40.68%
1-40.30%
0-50.12%