Ipswich Town at Aston Villa

Updated

Ipswich Town

9.6%16.3%74.0%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.38
1Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Ipswich Town
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Southampton+100
L 1-4 at Liverpool+2150
L 6-0 vs Manchester City+750
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+265
T 2-2 at Fulham+545
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-2 at Wolverhampton+135
T 1-1 vs West Ham United-235
T 2-2 at Arsenal+510
W 1-0 at Everton+130
W 1-2 vs Leicester City-325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ipswich Town+600+618+550+645+582+645+645+671.2
Aston Villa-260-232-240-233-239-233-232-208.6
Draw+420+395+420+397+391+397+420+414.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ipswich Town+675-+620-+480+625+625+671.2
Aston Villa-260--235--225-240-225-208.6
Draw+400-+390-+350+385+390+414.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ipswich Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ipswich Town: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ipswich Town: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ipswich Town ML moved from +594 to +582
Aston Villa ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ipswich Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ipswich Town: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ipswich Town: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ipswich Town ML moved from +575 to +480
Aston Villa ML moved from -205 to -240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-120o3-118o3-114o3-117o3-114o3-114o3-105
Underu3-115u3+103u3-102u3-102u3-103u3-102u3+103u3+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-120o3-120o3-105o3-120o3-115o3-105o3-105
Underu3-115u3+100u3+100u3-115u3-110u3-105u3+100u3+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+110 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.47%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 417.38%
Exactly 65.60%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.89%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.80%
Exactly 72.48%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Ipswich Town
Exactly 048.16%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 212.86%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 09.28%
Exactly 122.06%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 320.78%
Exactly 412.35%
Exactly 55.87%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 70.79%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.72%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ipswich Town
Exactly 071.30%
Exactly 124.12%
Exactly 24.08%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 033.26%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ipswich Town
Wins by 2+ goals2.50%
Wins by 3+ goals0.47%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals51.01%
Wins by 3+ goals29.29%
Wins by 4+ goals14.10%
Wins by 5+ goals5.76%
Wins by 6+ goals2.01%
Wins by 7+ goals0.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Ipswich Town
Aston Villa
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Ipswich Town
Wins by 1 goal7.04%
Wins by 2 goals2.03%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal22.94%
Wins by 2 goals21.73%
Wins by 3 goals15.19%
Wins by 4 goals8.34%
Wins by 5 goals3.76%
Wins by 6 goals1.43%
Wins by 7 goals0.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.53%4.47%
1.581.64%18.36%
2.560.06%39.94%
3.537.70%62.30%
4.520.32%79.68%
5.59.52%90.48%
6.53.93%96.07%
7.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Ipswich Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.84%48.16%
1.516.66%83.34%
2.53.80%96.20%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.72%9.28%
1.568.66%31.34%
2.542.44%57.56%
3.521.66%78.34%
4.59.31%90.69%
5.53.43%96.57%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.28%23.72%
1.542.16%57.84%
2.517.60%82.40%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ipswich Town
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
4.47%
10.62%
12.63%
10.01%
5.95%
2.83%
1
3.27%
7.76%
9.23%
7.31%
4.35%
2.07%
2
1.19%
2.84%
3.37%
2.67%
1.59%
0.76%
3
0.29%
0.69%
0.82%
0.65%
0.39%
0.18%
Ipswich Town
1-03.27%
2-01.19%
2-12.84%
3-00.29%
3-10.69%
3-20.82%
Draw
0-04.47%
1-17.76%
2-23.37%
3-30.65%
Aston Villa
0-110.62%
0-212.63%
1-29.23%
0-310.01%
1-37.31%
2-32.67%
0-45.95%
1-44.35%
2-41.59%
3-40.39%
0-52.83%
1-52.07%
2-50.76%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Ipswich Town
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
23.72%
26.10%
14.37%
5.27%
1.45%
0.32%
1
8.02%
8.83%
4.86%
1.78%
0.49%
0.11%
2
1.36%
1.49%
0.82%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.15%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Ipswich Town
1-08.02%
2-01.36%
2-11.49%
3-00.15%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-023.72%
1-18.83%
2-20.82%
Aston Villa
0-126.10%
0-214.37%
1-24.86%
0-35.27%
1-31.78%
2-30.30%
0-41.45%
1-40.49%
0-50.32%
1-50.11%