Burnley at Aston Villa

Updated

Burnley

15.4%21.1%63.5%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.96
1Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
L 0-1 at Tottenham+850
L 3-1 vs Aston Villa+205
W 2-1 at Watford+190
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton+165
W 0-2 vs Southampton+170
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-110
L 2-1 vs Liverpool+650
W 3-1 at Burnley+145
W 0-2 vs Norwich City-238
T 0-0 at Leicester City+144

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+320+290+300+310+292+300+310+311.7
Aston Villa-115+100+102+104-102+102+104+109.5
Draw+250+230+245+248+231+245+248+257.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+295-+290-+235+250+290+311.7
Aston Villa-105-+100--110+110+110+109.5
Draw+250-+238-+230+245+245+257.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +306 to +298
Aston Villa ML moved from +104 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +250 to +242
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2¼-120o2½+111o2½+113-o2½+111o2¼-120o2½+119
Underu2½-112u2¼+100u2½-127u2½-128-u2½-127u2½-127u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2½+105o2½+110-o2½-115o2½+110o2½+110o2½+119
Underu2½-125u2½-125u2½-130-u2½-115u2½-130u2½-115u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.09%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 415.56%
Exactly 64.06%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.04%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.71%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 043.05%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.29%
Exactly 34.29%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 014.15%
Exactly 127.67%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.64%
Exactly 48.62%
Exactly 53.37%
Exactly 61.10%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.37%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.46%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 067.69%
Exactly 126.41%
Exactly 25.15%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 040.44%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.58%
Exactly 35.00%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals4.71%
Wins by 3+ goals1.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals38.54%
Wins by 3+ goals19.02%
Wins by 4+ goals7.73%
Wins by 5+ goals2.61%
Wins by 6+ goals0.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal10.70%
Wins by 2 goals3.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.83%
Wins by 2 goals19.52%
Wins by 3 goals11.29%
Wins by 4 goals5.12%
Wins by 5 goals1.90%
Wins by 6 goals0.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.91%6.09%
1.576.86%23.14%
2.553.02%46.98%
3.530.77%69.23%
4.515.21%84.79%
5.56.50%93.50%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.95%43.05%
1.520.66%79.34%
2.55.38%94.62%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.85%14.15%
1.558.19%41.81%
2.531.13%68.87%
3.513.50%86.50%
4.54.87%95.13%
5.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.63%27.37%
1.537.16%62.84%
2.514.19%85.81%
3.54.27%95.73%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.09%
11.91%
11.65%
7.59%
3.71%
1.45%
1
5.13%
10.04%
9.82%
6.40%
3.13%
1.22%
2
2.16%
4.23%
4.14%
2.70%
1.32%
0.52%
3
0.61%
1.19%
1.16%
0.76%
0.37%
0.14%
4
0.13%
0.25%
0.24%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
Burnley
1-05.13%
2-02.16%
2-14.23%
3-00.61%
3-11.19%
3-21.16%
4-00.13%
4-10.25%
4-20.24%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.09%
1-110.04%
2-24.14%
3-30.76%
Aston Villa
0-111.91%
0-211.65%
1-29.82%
0-37.59%
1-36.40%
2-32.70%
0-43.71%
1-43.13%
2-41.32%
3-40.37%
0-51.45%
1-51.22%
2-50.52%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
27.37%
24.78%
11.22%
3.39%
0.77%
0.14%
1
10.68%
9.67%
4.38%
1.32%
0.30%
0.05%
2
2.08%
1.89%
0.85%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.25%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-010.68%
2-02.08%
2-11.89%
3-00.27%
3-10.25%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-027.37%
1-19.67%
2-20.85%
Aston Villa
0-124.78%
0-211.22%
1-24.38%
0-33.39%
1-31.32%
2-30.26%
0-40.77%
1-40.30%
0-50.14%