Manchester Utd at Aston Villa

Updated

Manchester United

48.3%23.6%28.1%
Manchester Utd WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.75Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Wolverhampton-150
W 1-3 vs Burnley-280
T 1-1 at Newcastle United-200
W 1-0 at Norwich City-245
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace-190
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 1-2 at Brentford+160
L 3-1 vs Chelsea+425
W 2-0 at Norwich City+110
L 0-1 at Liverpool+1200
W 1-2 vs Leicester City+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+110+185+180+195+178+180+195+197.5
Aston Villa+240+150+150+149+143+150+150+154.5
Draw+250+235+258+260+246+258+260+269.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+125-+185-+150+175+185+197.5
Aston Villa+205-+140-+140+150+150+154.5
Draw+255-+250-+220+250+250+269.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +138 to +130
Aston Villa ML moved from +161 to +151

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from +140 to +130
Aston Villa ML moved from +148 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-110o2½-115o2½-110-o2½-115o2½-110o2½-101
Underu2¾-115u2½-110u2½-105u2½-105-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-113-o2½-130o2½-115o2½-113o2½-101
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½-107-u2½+100u2½-105u2½+100u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.29%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 415.34%
Exactly 63.91%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.41%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 58.49%
Exactly 71.55%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 017.40%
Exactly 130.43%
Exactly 226.60%
Exactly 315.51%
Exactly 46.78%
Exactly 52.37%
Exactly 60.69%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 036.17%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.70%
Exactly 36.34%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.79%
Exactly 222.78%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 39.72%
Exactly 50.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 044.50%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 214.59%
Exactly 33.94%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 062.45%
Exactly 129.40%
Exactly 26.92%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals30.33%
Wins by 3+ goals13.58%
Wins by 4+ goals4.98%
Wins by 5+ goals1.52%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals7.78%
Wins by 3+ goals2.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Aston Villa
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal24.16%
Wins by 2 goals16.76%
Wins by 3 goals8.59%
Wins by 4 goals3.46%
Wins by 5 goals1.14%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal14.05%
Wins by 2 goals5.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.71%6.29%
1.576.30%23.70%
2.552.23%47.77%
3.530.04%69.96%
4.514.70%85.30%
5.56.21%93.79%
6.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.60%17.40%
1.552.17%47.83%
2.525.57%74.43%
3.510.06%89.94%
4.53.28%96.72%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.83%36.17%
1.527.05%72.95%
2.58.34%91.66%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.21%27.79%
1.536.62%63.38%
2.513.84%86.16%
3.54.12%95.88%
4.51.00%99.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
6.29%
6.40%
3.25%
1.10%
0.28%
1
11.01%
11.19%
5.69%
1.93%
0.49%
2
9.62%
9.79%
4.98%
1.69%
0.43%
3
5.61%
5.70%
2.90%
0.98%
0.25%
4
2.45%
2.49%
1.27%
0.43%
0.11%
5
0.86%
0.87%
0.44%
0.15%
0.04%
Manchester United
1-011.01%
2-09.62%
2-19.79%
3-05.61%
3-15.70%
3-22.90%
4-02.45%
4-12.49%
4-21.27%
4-30.43%
5-00.86%
5-10.87%
5-20.44%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.29%
1-111.19%
2-24.98%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Aston Villa
0-16.40%
0-23.25%
1-25.69%
0-31.10%
1-31.93%
2-31.69%
0-40.28%
1-40.49%
2-40.43%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Aston Villa
Score0123
0
27.79%
13.09%
3.08%
0.48%
1
22.50%
10.59%
2.49%
0.39%
2
9.11%
4.29%
1.01%
0.16%
3
2.46%
1.16%
0.27%
0.04%
4
0.50%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
Manchester United
1-022.50%
2-09.11%
2-14.29%
3-02.46%
3-11.16%
3-20.27%
4-00.50%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-027.79%
1-110.59%
2-21.01%
Aston Villa
0-113.09%
0-23.08%
1-22.49%
0-30.48%
1-30.39%
2-30.16%