Brentford at Aston Villa

Updated

Brentford

25.1%22.1%52.8%
Brentford WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.87
1Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last Games

Brentford
Money Line
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace+190
W 0-2 vs Arsenal+290
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United-120
L 2-3 at Watford+120
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+610
W 2-1 at Tottenham+435
L 2-3 at Crystal Palace+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+260-+290+290+280+290+290-
Aston Villa+100-+105+108+105+108+108-
Draw+270-+225+235+225+235+235-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+285-+276-+250+275+276-
Aston Villa-105-+102--120+110+110-
Draw+260-+230-+235+225+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +299 to +280
Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +310 to +275
Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o2¼-105o2¼-108-o2¼-108o2¼-105-
Underu2¾-115-u2¼-115u2¼-112-u2¼-112u2¼-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+115o2½+119-o2½+105o2½+110o2½+119-
Underu2½-115u2½-135u2½-139-u2½-135u2½-130u2½-130-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.34%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 415.30%
Exactly 63.88%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.48%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.44%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 041.14%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.23%
Exactly 34.80%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 015.40%
Exactly 128.81%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 316.81%
Exactly 47.86%
Exactly 52.94%
Exactly 60.92%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.88%
Exactly 222.74%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 39.68%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 066.28%
Exactly 127.26%
Exactly 25.60%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 042.05%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.78%
Exactly 34.56%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals5.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals35.59%
Wins by 3+ goals16.93%
Wins by 4+ goals6.62%
Wins by 5+ goals2.15%
Wins by 6+ goals0.57%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal11.79%
Wins by 2 goals4.20%
Wins by 3 goals1.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.84%
Wins by 2 goals18.66%
Wins by 3 goals10.31%
Wins by 4 goals4.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.58%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.66%6.34%
1.576.19%23.81%
2.552.07%47.93%
3.529.90%70.10%
4.514.60%85.40%
5.56.16%93.84%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.86%41.14%
1.522.32%77.68%
2.56.09%93.91%
3.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.60%15.40%
1.555.79%44.21%
2.528.84%71.16%
3.512.04%87.96%
4.54.18%95.82%
5.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.12%27.88%
1.536.52%63.48%
2.513.77%86.23%
3.54.09%95.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.34%
11.85%
11.09%
6.91%
3.23%
1.21%
1
5.63%
10.53%
9.85%
6.14%
2.87%
1.07%
2
2.50%
4.67%
4.37%
2.73%
1.28%
0.48%
3
0.74%
1.38%
1.29%
0.81%
0.38%
0.14%
4
0.16%
0.31%
0.29%
0.18%
0.08%
0.03%
Brentford
1-05.63%
2-02.50%
2-14.67%
3-00.74%
3-11.38%
3-21.29%
4-00.16%
4-10.31%
4-20.29%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-06.34%
1-110.53%
2-24.37%
3-30.81%
Aston Villa
0-111.85%
0-211.09%
1-29.85%
0-36.91%
1-36.14%
2-32.73%
0-43.23%
1-42.87%
2-41.28%
3-40.38%
0-51.21%
1-51.07%
2-50.48%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
27.88%
24.15%
10.46%
3.02%
0.65%
0.11%
1
11.46%
9.93%
4.30%
1.24%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.36%
2.04%
0.88%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.32%
0.28%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Brentford
1-011.46%
2-02.36%
2-12.04%
3-00.32%
3-10.28%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.88%
1-19.93%
2-20.88%
Aston Villa
0-124.15%
0-210.46%
1-24.30%
0-33.02%
1-31.24%
2-30.26%
0-40.65%
1-40.27%
0-50.11%