Newcastle Utd at Aston Villa

Updated

Newcastle United

24.5%21.0%54.5%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.98
0Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 4-2 vs West Ham United+235
W 2-0 at Fulham+190
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United-120
L 4-3 vs Manchester City+700
W 4-2 at Leicester City+800
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 2-3 at Watford+120
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+610
W 2-1 at Tottenham+435
L 2-3 at Crystal Palace+130
T 0-0 vs Everton+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+335-+310+330+319+330+330-
Aston Villa-131--120-120-127-120-120-
Draw+281-+285+290+282+290+290-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+320-+320-+290+310+320-
Aston Villa-125--125--145-120-120-
Draw+290-+287-+260+280+287-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +340 to +330
Aston Villa ML moved from -121 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +326 to +302
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+105-o2¾-125o2¾-116-o2¾-116o2¾-116-
Underu2¾-125-u2¾+105u2¾-104-u2¾-104u2¾+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-140o2½-145-o2½-140o2½-140o2½-140-
Underu2½+110u2½+120u2½+125-u2½+110u2½+120u2½+125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.9%
 
No49.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.63%
Exactly 223.30%
Exactly 416.08%
Exactly 64.44%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.19%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.25%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 040.93%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.33%
Exactly 34.86%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 013.75%
Exactly 127.28%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.90%
Exactly 48.88%
Exactly 53.52%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.39%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.16%
Exactly 310.40%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 066.13%
Exactly 127.35%
Exactly 25.66%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 039.91%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.84%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals5.15%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals38.25%
Wins by 3+ goals18.99%
Wins by 4+ goals7.78%
Wins by 5+ goals2.65%
Wins by 6+ goals0.73%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal11.01%
Wins by 2 goals3.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals19.26%
Wins by 3 goals11.21%
Wins by 4 goals5.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.92%
Wins by 6 goals0.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.37%5.63%
1.578.18%21.82%
2.554.88%45.12%
3.532.53%67.47%
4.516.46%83.54%
5.57.21%92.79%
6.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.07%40.93%
1.522.51%77.49%
2.56.18%93.82%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.25%13.75%
1.558.97%41.03%
2.531.90%68.10%
3.514.00%86.00%
4.55.12%94.88%
5.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.61%26.39%
1.538.46%61.54%
2.515.04%84.96%
3.54.64%95.36%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.63%
11.17%
11.08%
7.33%
3.63%
1.44%
1
5.03%
9.98%
9.90%
6.54%
3.25%
1.29%
2
2.25%
4.46%
4.42%
2.92%
1.45%
0.58%
3
0.67%
1.33%
1.32%
0.87%
0.43%
0.17%
4
0.15%
0.30%
0.29%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
Newcastle United
1-05.03%
2-02.25%
2-14.46%
3-00.67%
3-11.33%
3-21.32%
4-00.15%
4-10.30%
4-20.29%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-05.63%
1-19.98%
2-24.42%
3-30.87%
Aston Villa
0-111.17%
0-211.08%
1-29.90%
0-37.33%
1-36.54%
2-32.92%
0-43.63%
1-43.25%
2-41.45%
3-40.43%
0-51.44%
1-51.29%
2-50.58%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
26.39%
24.24%
11.13%
3.41%
0.78%
0.14%
1
10.91%
10.03%
4.61%
1.41%
0.32%
0.06%
2
2.26%
2.07%
0.95%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.31%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-010.91%
2-02.26%
2-12.07%
3-00.31%
3-10.29%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-026.39%
1-110.03%
2-20.95%
Aston Villa
0-124.24%
0-211.13%
1-24.61%
0-33.41%
1-31.41%
2-30.29%
0-40.78%
1-40.32%
0-50.14%