Burnley at Manchester City

Updated

Burnley

8.6%7.0%84.4%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.32Projected Goals 3.18
0Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Norwich City-105
T 2-2 at Leicester City+420
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+275
L 1-3 at Everton+425
T 1-1 vs Leeds United+225
Manchester City
Money Line
T 2-2 at Liverpool+135
W 1-0 at Chelsea+180
T 0-0 vs Southampton-590
W 1-0 at Leicester City-165
W 0-5 vs Arsenal-310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1800+1600+2000+2073+2169+2050+2169+2089.9
Manchester City-800-750-725-691-1079-730-691-557.0
Draw+750+800+825+822+892+825+892+838.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+2400-+1930--+1500+1930+2089.9
Manchester City-950--750---700-700-557.0
Draw+875-+728--+775+775+838.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1700 to +1600
Manchester City ML moved from -685 to -691

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +2000 to +1500
Manchester City ML moved from -850 to -860

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-122o3½-112o3½-116o3½-110-o3½-116o3½-110o3½-103
Underu3¼+102u3½-108u3½-104u3½-102-u3½-104u3½-102u3½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½+100o3½-112-o3½-115o3½-110o3½+100o3½-103
Underu3½-120u3½-120u3½-108-u3½-115u3½-110u3½-108u3½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes26.5%
 
No73.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.01%
Exactly 218.46%
Exactly 418.89%
Exactly 67.73%
Exactly 81.70%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.54%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 513.24%
Exactly 73.87%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 072.33%
Exactly 123.43%
Exactly 23.80%
Exactly 30.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 04.16%
Exactly 113.22%
Exactly 221.03%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 417.72%
Exactly 511.27%
Exactly 65.97%
Exactly 72.71%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 90.38%
Exactly 100.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.74%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 45.70%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.03%
Exactly 314.05%
Exactly 51.85%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 086.07%
Exactly 112.91%
Exactly 20.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 022.94%
Exactly 133.77%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 312.20%
Exactly 44.49%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals0.23%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals75.72%
Wins by 3+ goals54.57%
Wins by 4+ goals33.85%
Wins by 5+ goals18.15%
Wins by 6+ goals8.50%
Wins by 7+ goals3.50%
Wins by 8+ goals1.27%
Wins by 9+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal1.56%
Wins by 2 goals0.21%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal15.41%
Wins by 2 goals21.15%
Wins by 3 goals20.72%
Wins by 4 goals15.69%
Wins by 5 goals9.66%
Wins by 6 goals5.00%
Wins by 7 goals2.23%
Wins by 8 goals0.87%
Wins by 9 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.99%3.01%
1.586.45%13.55%
2.567.99%32.01%
3.546.43%53.57%
4.527.53%72.47%
5.514.29%85.71%
6.56.56%93.44%
7.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.527.67%72.33%
1.54.24%95.76%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.84%4.16%
1.582.62%17.38%
2.561.59%38.41%
3.539.31%60.69%
4.521.59%78.41%
5.510.32%89.68%
6.54.34%95.66%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.26%19.74%
1.548.23%51.77%
2.522.24%77.76%
3.58.19%91.81%
4.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Manchester City
Score01234
0
3.01%
9.56%
15.21%
16.12%
12.82%
1
0.97%
3.10%
4.93%
5.22%
4.15%
2
0.16%
0.50%
0.80%
0.85%
0.67%
Burnley
1-00.97%
2-00.16%
2-10.50%
Draw
0-03.01%
1-13.10%
2-20.80%
Manchester City
0-19.56%
0-215.21%
1-24.93%
0-316.12%
1-35.22%
2-30.85%
0-412.82%
1-44.15%
2-40.67%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
19.74%
29.07%
21.40%
10.50%
3.87%
1.14%
0.28%
1
2.96%
4.36%
3.21%
1.58%
0.58%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.22%
0.33%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-02.96%
2-00.22%
2-10.33%
Draw
0-019.74%
1-14.36%
2-20.24%
Manchester City
0-129.07%
0-221.40%
1-23.21%
0-310.50%
1-31.58%
2-30.12%
0-43.87%
1-40.58%
0-51.14%
1-50.17%
0-60.28%