Brighton at Manchester City

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

5.9%12.6%81.5%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.60Projected Goals 2.69
1Final Score 3

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Nottingham Forest-275
L 0-2 at Brentford+125
L 1-0 vs Tottenham+160
T 3-3 at Liverpool+578
W 2-5 vs Leicester City-120
Manchester City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Liverpool-115
W 0-4 vs Southampton-900
W 3-6 vs Manchester United-250
W 3-0 at Wolverhampton-315
T 1-1 at Aston Villa-320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+1000+1172+1100+1325-+1325+1325+1384.9
Manchester City-400-425-420-475--475-420-395.2
Draw+500+559+500+625-+625+625+643.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+1200-+1225--+1100+1225+1384.9
Manchester City-475--485---480-480-395.2
Draw+570-+575--+600+600+643.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Manchester City ML moved from -400 to -420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +1200 to +1100
Manchester City ML moved from -535 to -565

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-108o3-145o3¼+102o3¼-101-o3¼-101o3¼+102o3-116
Underu3¼-112u3+123u3¼-122u3¼-115-u3¼-115u3+123u3+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3-130o3-126-o3½+115o3½+125o3-126o3-116
Underu3½-135u3+110u3+106-u3½-145u3½-145u3½-145u3+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-110 to u3½-135

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.0%
 
No58.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.72%
Exactly 220.15%
Exactly 418.19%
Exactly 66.57%
Exactly 81.27%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.24%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 511.98%
Exactly 73.09%
Exactly 90.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 054.93%
Exactly 132.91%
Exactly 29.86%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.77%
Exactly 118.23%
Exactly 224.54%
Exactly 322.03%
Exactly 414.83%
Exactly 57.99%
Exactly 63.58%
Exactly 71.38%
Exactly 80.46%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.78%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 44.90%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 312.85%
Exactly 51.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 075.78%
Exactly 121.02%
Exactly 22.92%
Exactly 30.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 028.74%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 39.28%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals1.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.21%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals60.84%
Wins by 3+ goals38.48%
Wins by 4+ goals20.64%
Wins by 5+ goals9.48%
Wins by 6+ goals3.77%
Wins by 7+ goals1.30%
Wins by 8+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal4.57%
Wins by 2 goals1.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal20.58%
Wins by 2 goals22.36%
Wins by 3 goals17.84%
Wins by 4 goals11.16%
Wins by 5 goals5.71%
Wins by 6 goals2.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.92%
Wins by 8 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.28%3.72%
1.584.04%15.96%
2.563.89%36.11%
3.541.79%58.21%
4.523.59%76.41%
5.511.61%88.39%
6.55.04%94.96%
7.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.07%54.93%
1.512.16%87.84%
2.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.23%6.77%
1.575.00%25.00%
2.550.46%49.54%
3.528.43%71.57%
4.513.60%86.40%
5.55.62%94.38%
6.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.22%21.78%
1.545.02%54.98%
2.519.72%80.28%
3.56.87%93.13%
4.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.72%
10.01%
13.48%
12.10%
8.15%
4.39%
1
2.23%
6.00%
8.08%
7.25%
4.88%
2.63%
2
0.67%
1.80%
2.42%
2.17%
1.46%
0.79%
3
0.13%
0.36%
0.48%
0.43%
0.29%
0.16%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-02.23%
2-00.67%
2-11.80%
3-00.13%
3-10.36%
3-20.48%
Draw
0-03.72%
1-16.00%
2-22.42%
3-30.43%
Manchester City
0-110.01%
0-213.48%
1-28.08%
0-312.10%
1-37.25%
2-32.17%
0-48.15%
1-44.88%
2-41.46%
3-40.29%
0-54.39%
1-52.63%
2-50.79%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
21.78%
27.16%
16.93%
7.03%
2.19%
0.55%
0.11%
1
6.04%
7.53%
4.70%
1.95%
0.61%
0.15%
0.03%
2
0.84%
1.04%
0.65%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-06.04%
2-00.84%
2-11.04%
Draw
0-021.78%
1-17.53%
2-20.65%
Manchester City
0-127.16%
0-216.93%
1-24.70%
0-37.03%
1-31.95%
2-30.27%
0-42.19%
1-40.61%
0-50.55%
1-50.15%
0-60.11%