Aston Villa at Liverpool

Updated

Aston Villa

13.7%10.5%75.8%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.52Projected Goals 2.90
0Final Score 1

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Leicester City+135
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+650
W 2-1 at Crystal Palace+235
W 0-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+148
L 0-1 at Southampton+275
Liverpool
Money Line
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton-270
W 4-1 at Everton-295
W 0-4 vs Southampton-420
W 0-4 vs Arsenal-195
L 2-3 at West Ham United-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+987+1000+1100+1213+1084+1100+1213+1240.2
Liverpool-423-420-400-418-459-400-400-358.0
Draw+528+550+560+585+548+560+585+595.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+1000-+1013--+1200+1200+1240.2
Liverpool-425--420---450-420-358.0
Draw+570-+545--+550+550+595.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +1109 to +1084
Liverpool ML moved from -390 to -400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +1050 to +1000
Liverpool ML moved from -425 to -450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-115o3¼-115o3¼-108o3½+122-o3¼-108o3¼-108o3¼+102
Underu3¼-105u3¼-105u3¼-112u3½-137-u3¼-112u3½-137u3¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3½+115o3½+116-o3½+110o3½+115o3½+116o3¼+102
Underu3½-120u3½-135u3½-136-u3½-140u3½-135u3½-135u3¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.5%
 
No61.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.27%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 418.65%
Exactly 67.28%
Exactly 81.52%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.18%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 512.76%
Exactly 73.56%
Exactly 90.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 059.24%
Exactly 131.02%
Exactly 28.12%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 05.52%
Exactly 115.98%
Exactly 223.16%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 416.20%
Exactly 59.39%
Exactly 64.53%
Exactly 71.88%
Exactly 80.68%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.52%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 45.38%
Exactly 60.45%
 
Exactly 132.50%
Exactly 313.59%
Exactly 51.70%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 078.47%
Exactly 119.02%
Exactly 22.31%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 026.14%
Exactly 135.07%
Exactly 223.53%
Exactly 310.52%
Exactly 43.53%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals0.84%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals66.51%
Wins by 3+ goals44.40%
Wins by 4+ goals25.30%
Wins by 5+ goals12.40%
Wins by 6+ goals5.27%
Wins by 7+ goals1.94%
Wins by 8+ goals0.60%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal3.38%
Wins by 2 goals0.72%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal18.71%
Wins by 2 goals22.11%
Wins by 3 goals19.10%
Wins by 4 goals12.90%
Wins by 5 goals7.13%
Wins by 6 goals3.33%
Wins by 7 goals1.34%
Wins by 8 goals0.47%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.73%3.27%
1.585.55%14.45%
2.566.43%33.57%
3.544.62%55.38%
4.525.97%74.03%
5.513.21%86.79%
6.55.94%94.06%
7.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.76%59.24%
1.59.74%90.26%
2.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.48%5.52%
1.578.50%21.50%
2.555.34%44.66%
3.532.98%67.02%
4.516.78%83.22%
5.57.39%92.61%
6.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.48%20.52%
1.546.99%53.01%
2.521.25%78.75%
3.57.66%92.34%
4.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Liverpool
Score012345
0
3.27%
9.47%
13.72%
13.25%
9.60%
5.56%
1
1.71%
4.96%
7.18%
6.94%
5.02%
2.91%
2
0.45%
1.30%
1.88%
1.82%
1.32%
0.76%
Aston Villa
1-01.71%
2-00.45%
2-11.30%
Draw
0-03.27%
1-14.96%
2-21.88%
3-30.32%
Liverpool
0-19.47%
0-213.72%
1-27.18%
0-313.25%
1-36.94%
2-31.82%
0-49.60%
1-45.02%
2-41.32%
3-40.23%
0-55.56%
1-52.91%
2-50.76%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
20.52%
27.52%
18.46%
8.26%
2.77%
0.74%
0.17%
1
4.97%
6.67%
4.48%
2.00%
0.67%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.60%
0.81%
0.54%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-04.97%
2-00.60%
2-10.81%
Draw
0-020.52%
1-16.67%
2-20.54%
Liverpool
0-127.52%
0-218.46%
1-24.48%
0-38.26%
1-32.00%
2-30.24%
0-42.77%
1-40.67%
0-50.74%
1-50.18%
0-60.17%