Brighton at Bournemouth

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

32.8%28.5%38.7%
Brighton WinDrawBournemouth Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.20
1Final Score 2

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Manchester City+290
L 0-2 at Everton+137
T 1-1 vs Fulham-110
W 4-1 at Tottenham-115
W 2-3 vs Liverpool+120
Bournemouth
Money Line
W 1-0 at Tottenham+300
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton-125
L 2-4 at Liverpool+850
W 0-2 vs Leicester City-320
L 1-3 at Manchester City+785

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+187+190+185+190+185+190+190+200.1
Bournemouth+140+143+141+144+141+144+144+152.5
Draw+263+252+245+257+246+257+257+269.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton+185-+195+180+180+190+195+200.1
Bournemouth+140-+136+125+125+135+136+152.5
Draw+255-+252+240+245+255+255+269.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +190 to +183
Bournemouth ML moved from +145 to +135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 10.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +195 to +185
Bournemouth ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+118o3+106o3+102o3+100o3-101o3+100o3+106o3+107
Underu3-138u3-125u3-122u3-116u3-121u3-116u3-116u3-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-150o3+105o3+110o2½-150o3-115o3+105o2½-150o3+107
Underu2½+130u3-125u3-130u2½+130u3-115u3-125u3-115u3-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.26%
Exactly 226.60%
Exactly 411.49%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.36%
Exactly 320.18%
Exactly 55.23%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 033.99%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 030.18%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 221.65%
Exactly 38.65%
Exactly 42.59%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.85%
Exactly 219.36%
Exactly 41.79%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 060.68%
Exactly 130.31%
Exactly 27.57%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 057.43%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 28.83%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals12.78%
Wins by 3+ goals3.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals16.54%
Wins by 3+ goals5.45%
Wins by 4+ goals1.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal19.94%
Wins by 2 goals9.00%
Wins by 3 goals2.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal22.14%
Wins by 2 goals11.09%
Wins by 3 goals4.02%
Wins by 4 goals1.13%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.74%10.26%
1.566.38%33.62%
2.539.78%60.22%
3.519.60%80.40%
4.58.11%91.89%
5.52.87%97.13%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.01%33.99%
1.529.33%70.67%
2.59.54%90.46%
3.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.82%30.18%
1.533.66%66.34%
2.512.00%88.00%
3.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.15%34.85%
1.528.42%71.58%
2.59.05%90.95%
3.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
10.26%
12.29%
7.36%
2.94%
0.88%
0.21%
1
11.07%
13.26%
7.94%
3.17%
0.95%
0.23%
2
5.97%
7.15%
4.28%
1.71%
0.51%
0.12%
3
2.15%
2.57%
1.54%
0.62%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.58%
0.69%
0.42%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-011.07%
2-05.97%
2-17.15%
3-02.15%
3-12.57%
3-21.54%
4-00.58%
4-10.69%
4-20.42%
4-30.17%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.26%
1-113.26%
2-24.28%
3-30.62%
Bournemouth
0-112.29%
0-27.36%
1-27.94%
0-32.94%
1-33.17%
2-31.71%
0-40.88%
1-40.95%
2-40.51%
3-40.18%
0-50.21%
1-50.23%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
34.85%
19.33%
5.36%
0.99%
0.14%
1
17.41%
9.65%
2.68%
0.49%
0.07%
2
4.35%
2.41%
0.67%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.72%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-017.41%
2-04.35%
2-12.41%
3-00.72%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.85%
1-19.65%
2-20.67%
Bournemouth
0-119.33%
0-25.36%
1-22.68%
0-30.99%
1-30.49%
2-30.12%
0-40.14%