Arsenal at Liverpool

Updated

Arsenal

19.5%22.6%57.8%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.84
2Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Leeds United-370
W 1-4 vs Crystal Palace-380
W 3-0 at Fulham-230
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth-435
W 0-4 vs Everton-320
Liverpool
Money Line
T 0-0 at Chelsea+250
L 1-4 at Manchester City+425
L 0-1 at Bournemouth-245
W 0-7 vs Manchester United+140
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+170+157+150+150+154+150+154+158.9
Liverpool+150+169+170+176+181+176+181+185.8
Draw+260+258+255+266+263+266+266+279.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal+125-+155-+135+160+160+158.9
Liverpool+155-+164-+150+165+165+185.8
Draw+245-+255-+230+245+255+279.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +163 to +157
Liverpool ML moved from +172 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from +163 to +155
Liverpool ML moved from +170 to +164

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o3+110o2¾-118o2¾-112o3+120o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-104
Underu2¾-115u3-130u2¾-102u2¾-104u3-135u2¾-104u3-130u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2½-135o3+110-o2½-140o2½-135o2½-135o2¾-104
Underu3-125u2½+115u3-130-u2½+110u2½+115u3-130u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.2%
 
No47.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.03%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 415.63%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.94%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.78%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 037.97%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.80%
Exactly 35.75%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 015.89%
Exactly 129.23%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 316.49%
Exactly 47.58%
Exactly 52.79%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.25%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 063.87%
Exactly 128.63%
Exactly 26.42%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 042.66%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.48%
Exactly 34.39%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals6.66%
Wins by 3+ goals1.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals33.37%
Wins by 3+ goals15.58%
Wins by 4+ goals5.98%
Wins by 5+ goals1.91%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Liverpool
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal12.84%
Wins by 2 goals4.93%
Wins by 3 goals1.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.39%
Wins by 2 goals17.79%
Wins by 3 goals9.60%
Wins by 4 goals4.07%
Wins by 5 goals1.41%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.97%6.03%
1.577.03%22.97%
2.553.25%46.75%
3.530.99%69.01%
4.515.36%84.64%
5.56.58%93.42%
6.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.03%37.97%
1.525.26%74.74%
2.57.46%92.54%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.11%15.89%
1.554.89%45.11%
2.528.00%72.00%
3.511.52%88.48%
4.53.94%96.06%
5.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.75%27.25%
1.537.32%62.68%
2.514.29%85.71%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Liverpool
Score012345
0
6.03%
11.10%
10.21%
6.26%
2.88%
1.06%
1
5.84%
10.75%
9.89%
6.06%
2.79%
1.03%
2
2.83%
5.20%
4.79%
2.93%
1.35%
0.50%
3
0.91%
1.68%
1.54%
0.95%
0.44%
0.16%
4
0.22%
0.41%
0.37%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
Arsenal
1-05.84%
2-02.83%
2-15.20%
3-00.91%
3-11.68%
3-21.54%
4-00.22%
4-10.41%
4-20.37%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-06.03%
1-110.75%
2-24.79%
3-30.95%
4-40.11%
Liverpool
0-111.10%
0-210.21%
1-29.89%
0-36.26%
1-36.06%
2-32.93%
0-42.88%
1-42.79%
2-41.35%
3-40.44%
0-51.06%
1-51.03%
2-50.50%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Liverpool
Score012345
0
27.25%
23.21%
9.89%
2.81%
0.60%
0.10%
1
12.22%
10.41%
4.43%
1.26%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.74%
2.33%
0.99%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.41%
0.35%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-012.22%
2-02.74%
2-12.33%
3-00.41%
3-10.35%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-027.25%
1-110.41%
2-20.99%
Liverpool
0-123.21%
0-29.89%
1-24.43%
0-32.81%
1-31.26%
2-30.28%
0-40.60%
1-40.27%
0-50.10%