Arsenal at Burnley

Updated

Arsenal

73.1%17.0%10.0%
Arsenal WinDrawWin
2.30Projected Goals 0.72
2Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace-260
W 1-0 at Fulham-200
W 0-2 vs West Ham United-510
W 2-1 at Newcastle United+125
T 1-1 vs Manchester City+101
Burnley
Money Line
W 3-2 at Wolverhampton+340
W 0-2 vs Leeds United+245
L 1-2 at Aston Villa+540
L 1-5 at Manchester City+1340
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-310-405-420-433-433-433-405-364.6
Burnley+750+1237+1000+1350+1350+1350+1350+1401.0
Draw+460+513+500+550+550+550+550+572.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-350--401--450-400-400-364.6
Burnley+840-+1150-+925+1075+1150+1401.0
Draw+505-+500-+470+500+500+572.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Burnley: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -391 to -405
Burnley ML moved from +1100 to +1000

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -450 to -475
No Steam Moves On Burnley ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2½-112o2½-112o2½-114o2½-114o2½-114o2½-112o2½-105
Underu2¾-122u2½-104u2½-108u2½-102u2½-102u2½-102u2½-102u2½+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-120o2½-120o2½-130o2½-130o2½-120o2½-120o2½-105
Underu2½+115u2½+100u2½+100u2½+110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+110u2½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.88%
Exactly 222.26%
Exactly 416.91%
Exactly 65.14%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.75%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.21%
Exactly 72.22%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 010.02%
Exactly 123.05%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 320.34%
Exactly 411.70%
Exactly 55.38%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 70.68%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 048.77%
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 212.57%
Exactly 33.01%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.71%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.54%
Exactly 311.25%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 034.46%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.56%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 071.72%
Exactly 123.84%
Exactly 23.96%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals49.53%
Wins by 3+ goals27.84%
Wins by 4+ goals13.08%
Wins by 5+ goals5.20%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals2.58%
Wins by 3+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals21.70%
Wins by 3 goals14.76%
Wins by 4 goals7.87%
Wins by 5 goals3.44%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal7.31%
Wins by 2 goals2.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.12%4.88%
1.580.37%19.63%
2.558.11%41.89%
3.535.70%64.30%
4.518.80%81.20%
5.58.59%91.41%
6.53.45%96.55%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.98%10.02%
1.566.94%33.06%
2.540.42%59.58%
3.520.09%79.91%
4.58.39%91.61%
5.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.23%48.77%
1.516.21%83.79%
2.53.64%96.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.29%24.71%
1.540.74%59.26%
2.516.60%83.40%
3.55.35%94.65%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Burnley
Score0123
0
4.88%
3.51%
1.26%
0.30%
1
11.24%
8.07%
2.90%
0.69%
2
12.93%
9.29%
3.33%
0.80%
3
9.92%
7.12%
2.56%
0.61%
4
5.71%
4.10%
1.47%
0.35%
5
2.63%
1.89%
0.68%
0.16%
Arsenal
1-011.24%
2-012.93%
2-19.29%
3-09.92%
3-17.12%
3-22.56%
4-05.71%
4-14.10%
4-21.47%
4-30.35%
5-02.63%
5-11.89%
5-20.68%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-04.88%
1-18.07%
2-23.33%
3-30.61%
Burnley
0-13.51%
0-21.26%
1-22.90%
0-30.30%
1-30.69%
2-30.80%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Burnley
Score0123
0
24.71%
8.22%
1.37%
0.15%
1
26.33%
8.75%
1.45%
0.16%
2
14.03%
4.66%
0.78%
0.09%
3
4.98%
1.66%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.33%
0.44%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-026.33%
2-014.03%
2-14.66%
3-04.98%
3-11.66%
3-20.28%
4-01.33%
4-10.44%
5-00.28%
Draw
0-024.71%
1-18.75%
2-20.78%
Burnley
0-18.22%
0-21.37%
1-21.45%
0-30.15%
1-30.16%