Burnley at Manchester City

Updated

Burnley

4.1%9.9%85.9%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.55Projected Goals 3.00
1Final Score 5

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+240
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+850
L 2-3 at Manchester United+700
W 0-2 vs Sunderland+131
L 0-3 at Tottenham+700
Manchester City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Arsenal+280
W 0-3 vs Manchester United-140
L 1-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+100
L 2-0 vs Tottenham-180
W 4-0 at Wolverhampton-205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1445+1390+1300+1550+1501+1550+1550+1607.9
Manchester City-523-537-575-540-617-540-537-441.0
Draw+636+670+625+665+657+665+670+691.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1350-+1300--+1340+1340+1607.9
Manchester City-625--530---550-530-441.0
Draw+725-+645--+645+645+691.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1436 to +1390
Manchester City ML moved from -550 to -575

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Manchester City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1425 to +1340
Manchester City ML moved from -525 to -590

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+112o3½+114o3¼-115o3¼-104o3¼-112o3¼-104o3¼-104o3¼+104
Underu3½-132u3½-134u3¼-105u3¼-112u3¼-108u3¼-112u3½-134u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+120o3-130o3½+110o3½+115o3-135o3-130o3-130o3¼+104
Underu3½-140u3+110u3½-130u3½-135u3+105u3+110u3½-130u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+110
The Under moved from u3½-135 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.1%
 
No59.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.87%
Exactly 218.08%
Exactly 419.01%
Exactly 68.00%
Exactly 81.80%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.18%
Exactly 321.41%
Exactly 513.51%
Exactly 74.06%
Exactly 90.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 057.76%
Exactly 131.70%
Exactly 28.70%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 04.96%
Exactly 114.90%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.82%
Exactly 510.11%
Exactly 65.06%
Exactly 72.17%
Exactly 80.82%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.31%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 45.89%
Exactly 60.53%
 
Exactly 131.75%
Exactly 314.32%
Exactly 51.94%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 077.56%
Exactly 119.71%
Exactly 22.50%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 024.89%
Exactly 134.62%
Exactly 224.07%
Exactly 311.16%
Exactly 43.88%
Exactly 51.08%
Exactly 60.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals0.84%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals67.88%
Wins by 3+ goals46.22%
Wins by 4+ goals26.98%
Wins by 5+ goals13.58%
Wins by 6+ goals5.94%
Wins by 7+ goals2.25%
Wins by 8+ goals0.71%
Wins by 9+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal3.27%
Wins by 2 goals0.72%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal17.94%
Wins by 2 goals21.66%
Wins by 3 goals19.24%
Wins by 4 goals13.40%
Wins by 5 goals7.64%
Wins by 6 goals3.69%
Wins by 7 goals1.54%
Wins by 8 goals0.56%
Wins by 9 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.13%2.87%
1.586.95%13.05%
2.568.87%31.13%
3.547.46%52.54%
4.528.45%71.55%
5.514.94%85.06%
6.56.94%93.06%
7.52.88%97.12%
8.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.24%57.76%
1.510.54%89.46%
2.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.04%4.96%
1.580.14%19.86%
2.557.76%42.24%
3.535.36%64.64%
4.518.53%81.47%
5.58.43%91.57%
6.53.37%96.63%
7.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.69%19.31%
1.548.94%51.06%
2.522.83%77.17%
3.58.51%91.49%
4.52.62%97.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Manchester City
Score012345
0
2.87%
8.61%
12.93%
12.94%
9.72%
5.84%
1
1.57%
4.72%
7.09%
7.10%
5.33%
3.20%
2
0.43%
1.30%
1.95%
1.95%
1.46%
0.88%
Burnley
1-01.57%
2-00.43%
2-11.30%
Draw
0-02.87%
1-14.72%
2-21.95%
3-30.36%
Manchester City
0-18.61%
0-212.93%
1-27.09%
0-312.94%
1-37.10%
2-31.95%
0-49.72%
1-45.33%
2-41.46%
3-40.27%
0-55.84%
1-53.20%
2-50.88%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
19.31%
26.85%
18.67%
8.65%
3.01%
0.84%
0.19%
1
4.91%
6.82%
4.74%
2.20%
0.76%
0.21%
0.05%
2
0.62%
0.87%
0.60%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Burnley
1-04.91%
2-00.62%
2-10.87%
Draw
0-019.31%
1-16.82%
2-20.60%
Manchester City
0-126.85%
0-218.67%
1-24.74%
0-38.65%
1-32.20%
2-30.28%
0-43.01%
1-40.76%
0-50.84%
1-50.21%
0-60.19%