Newcastle Utd at Manchester City

Updated

Newcastle United

13.8%19.4%66.8%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.13
0Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Fulham-140
W 3-1 at Southampton-230
L 4-1 vs Bournemouth-160
W 0-3 vs Wolverhampton-300
W 2-1 at Tottenham-115
Manchester City
Money Line
L 1-5 at Arsenal+300
W 1-3 vs Chelsea+130
W 6-0 at Ipswich Town-300
T 2-2 at Brentford-173
W 1-4 vs West Ham United-390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+310+231+235+235+223+235+235+246.8
Manchester City-135+104+100+106+103+106+106+113.3
Draw+330+305+295+298+295+298+305+312.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+265-+230+240+235+220+240+246.8
Manchester City-115-+100-110-120+105+105+113.3
Draw+315-+300+290+300+300+300+312.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +228 to +221
Manchester City ML moved from -103 to -112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +230 to +220
No Steam Moves On Manchester City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-110o3½-105o3½-108o3½-107o3½-106o3½-107o3½-105o3½+101
Underu3¼-110u3½-112u3½-112u3½-109u3½-114u3½-109u3½-109u3½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3½+100o3½+100o3½+105o3½-110o3½-105o3½+105o3½+101
Underu3½-135u3½-120u3½-120u3½-125u3½-120u3½-115u3½-115u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-118 to o3½-107
The Under moved from u3½-116 to u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+115 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.3%
 
No49.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.11%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 416.66%
Exactly 64.91%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.19%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.91%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 042.84%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 215.39%
Exactly 34.35%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 011.92%
Exactly 125.36%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 319.11%
Exactly 410.16%
Exactly 54.32%
Exactly 61.53%
Exactly 70.47%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.23%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 310.98%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 067.53%
Exactly 126.51%
Exactly 25.20%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 037.35%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.11%
Exactly 35.94%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals4.18%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals42.68%
Wins by 3+ goals22.42%
Wins by 4+ goals9.81%
Wins by 5+ goals3.63%
Wins by 6+ goals1.14%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal9.60%
Wins by 2 goals3.22%
Wins by 3 goals0.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.08%
Wins by 2 goals20.26%
Wins by 3 goals12.62%
Wins by 4 goals6.18%
Wins by 5 goals2.49%
Wins by 6 goals0.84%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.89%5.11%
1.579.70%20.30%
2.557.11%42.89%
3.534.71%65.29%
4.518.05%81.95%
5.58.14%91.86%
6.53.22%96.78%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.16%42.84%
1.520.85%79.15%
2.55.45%94.55%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.08%11.92%
1.562.72%37.28%
2.535.76%64.24%
3.516.65%83.35%
4.56.48%93.52%
5.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.77%25.23%
1.540.03%59.97%
2.516.10%83.90%
3.55.12%94.88%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Manchester City
Score012345
0
5.11%
10.86%
11.55%
8.19%
4.35%
1.85%
1
4.33%
9.21%
9.79%
6.94%
3.69%
1.57%
2
1.84%
3.90%
4.15%
2.94%
1.56%
0.67%
3
0.52%
1.10%
1.17%
0.83%
0.44%
0.19%
4
0.11%
0.23%
0.25%
0.18%
0.09%
0.04%
Newcastle United
1-04.33%
2-01.84%
2-13.90%
3-00.52%
3-11.10%
3-21.17%
4-00.11%
4-10.23%
4-20.25%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.11%
1-19.21%
2-24.15%
3-30.83%
Manchester City
0-110.86%
0-211.55%
1-29.79%
0-38.19%
1-36.94%
2-32.94%
0-44.35%
1-43.69%
2-41.56%
3-40.44%
0-51.85%
1-51.57%
2-50.67%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Manchester City
Score012345
0
25.23%
24.84%
12.23%
4.01%
0.99%
0.19%
1
9.90%
9.75%
4.80%
1.58%
0.39%
0.08%
2
1.94%
1.91%
0.94%
0.31%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.25%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-09.90%
2-01.94%
2-11.91%
3-00.25%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.23%
1-19.75%
2-20.94%
Manchester City
0-124.84%
0-212.23%
1-24.80%
0-34.01%
1-31.58%
2-30.31%
0-40.99%
1-40.39%
0-50.19%