Manchester City at Arsenal

Updated

Manchester City

27.7%25.7%46.5%
Manchester City WinDrawArsenal Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.50
1Final Score 5

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Chelsea+130
W 6-0 at Ipswich Town-300
T 2-2 at Brentford-173
W 1-4 vs West Ham United-390
W 2-0 at Leicester City-320
Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-0 at Wolverhampton-174
T 2-2 vs Aston Villa-175
W 1-2 vs Tottenham-285
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-125
W 3-1 at Brentford-190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+237+294+285+280+281+280+294+293.3
Arsenal+113-111-115-110-114-110-110-102.4
Draw+265+286+290+303+285+303+303+317.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+270-+300+270+275+290+300+293.3
Arsenal+105--120-115-120-110-110-102.4
Draw+245-+290+250+260+270+290+317.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +290 to +282
Arsenal ML moved from +102 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 10.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +280 to +270
Arsenal ML moved from +100 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-134o3-104o3+100o3+103o3-104o3+103o3+103o3+110
Underu2½+114u3-113u3-120u3-119u3-116u3-119u3-113u3-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o3+100o3+100o3+100o2½-140o3+100o2½-140o3+110
Underu2½+110u3-120u3-120u3-120u2½+110u3-120u3-120u3-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-119 to o2¾-115
The Under moved from u2¾-108 to u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.39%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 414.18%
Exactly 63.21%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.25%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.39%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 033.28%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 37.39%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 022.21%
Exactly 133.42%
Exactly 225.14%
Exactly 312.61%
Exactly 44.74%
Exactly 51.43%
Exactly 60.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.94%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 060.08%
Exactly 130.61%
Exactly 27.80%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 049.83%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 212.09%
Exactly 32.81%
Exactly 40.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals10.64%
Wins by 3+ goals3.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals23.19%
Wins by 3+ goals9.14%
Wins by 4+ goals2.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Arsenal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal17.00%
Wins by 2 goals7.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.25%
Wins by 2 goals14.05%
Wins by 3 goals6.25%
Wins by 4 goals2.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.61%7.39%
1.573.35%26.65%
2.548.28%51.72%
3.526.50%73.50%
4.512.33%87.67%
5.54.94%95.06%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.72%33.28%
1.530.11%69.89%
2.59.96%90.04%
3.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.79%22.21%
1.544.37%55.63%
2.519.23%80.77%
3.56.62%93.38%
4.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.06%29.94%
1.533.95%66.05%
2.512.18%87.82%
3.53.43%96.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score012345
0
7.39%
11.12%
8.37%
4.20%
1.58%
0.47%
1
8.13%
12.24%
9.20%
4.62%
1.74%
0.52%
2
4.47%
6.73%
5.06%
2.54%
0.96%
0.29%
3
1.64%
2.47%
1.86%
0.93%
0.35%
0.11%
4
0.45%
0.68%
0.51%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-08.13%
2-04.47%
2-16.73%
3-01.64%
3-12.47%
3-21.86%
4-00.45%
4-10.68%
4-20.51%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-07.39%
1-112.24%
2-25.06%
3-30.93%
Arsenal
0-111.12%
0-28.37%
1-29.20%
0-34.20%
1-34.62%
2-32.54%
0-41.58%
1-41.74%
2-40.96%
3-40.35%
0-50.47%
1-50.52%
2-50.29%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Arsenal
Score01234
0
29.94%
20.85%
7.26%
1.69%
0.29%
1
15.25%
10.62%
3.70%
0.86%
0.15%
2
3.88%
2.71%
0.94%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.66%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-015.25%
2-03.88%
2-12.71%
3-00.66%
3-10.46%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.94%
1-110.62%
2-20.94%
Arsenal
0-120.85%
0-27.26%
1-23.70%
0-31.69%
1-30.86%
2-30.22%
0-40.29%
1-40.15%