Liverpool at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Liverpool

51.4%24.7%23.9%
Liverpool WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.63Projected Goals 1.03
3Final Score 2

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Bournemouth-375
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-285
L 2-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+195
T 2-2 vs Arsenal+125
L 1-3 at Chelsea+215
Newcastle United
Money Line
T 0-0 at Aston Villa+200
L 1-0 vs Everton-360
L 0-1 at Arsenal+310
W 0-2 vs Chelsea+120
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+101+122+115+130+127+130+130+138.1
Newcastle Utd+254+209+210+203+195+203+210+213.6
Draw+285+276+275+270+262+270+276+283.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+100-+130+115+105+125+130+138.1
Newcastle Utd+240-+194+205+200+205+205+213.6
Draw+290-+268+260+270+260+270+283.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +125 to +115
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +215 to +203

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Liverpool ML
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +225 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-111o3-112o2½-168o3-107o3-112o3-107o3-105o3+101
Underu3-105u3-105u2½+138u3-109u3-108u3-109u3-105u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3+100o3-108o3-110o3-120o3-110o3+100o3+101
Underu3+100u3-120u3-112u3-110u3-110u3-110u3-110u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.00%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 414.58%
Exactly 63.44%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.62%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 57.75%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 019.58%
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 314.15%
Exactly 45.77%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 035.78%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.90%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.20%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 047.00%
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 213.40%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 062.14%
Exactly 129.57%
Exactly 27.03%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals27.33%
Wins by 3+ goals11.59%
Wins by 4+ goals4.01%
Wins by 5+ goals1.15%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals8.64%
Wins by 3+ goals2.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.08%
Wins by 2 goals15.74%
Wins by 3 goals7.58%
Wins by 4 goals2.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal15.17%
Wins by 2 goals6.25%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.00%7.00%
1.574.37%25.63%
2.549.62%50.38%
3.527.68%72.32%
4.513.10%86.90%
5.55.35%94.65%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.42%19.58%
1.548.50%51.50%
2.522.46%77.54%
3.58.31%91.69%
4.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.22%35.78%
1.527.44%72.56%
2.58.55%91.45%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.80%29.20%
1.534.85%65.15%
2.512.73%87.27%
3.53.65%96.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
7.00%
7.20%
3.70%
1.27%
0.33%
1
11.42%
11.74%
6.03%
2.07%
0.53%
2
9.31%
9.57%
4.92%
1.69%
0.43%
3
5.06%
5.20%
2.67%
0.92%
0.24%
4
2.06%
2.12%
1.09%
0.37%
0.10%
5
0.67%
0.69%
0.36%
0.12%
0.03%
Liverpool
1-011.42%
2-09.31%
2-19.57%
3-05.06%
3-15.20%
3-22.67%
4-02.06%
4-12.12%
4-21.09%
4-30.37%
5-00.67%
5-10.69%
5-20.36%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.00%
1-111.74%
2-24.92%
3-30.92%
Newcastle United
0-17.20%
0-23.70%
1-26.03%
0-31.27%
1-32.07%
2-31.69%
0-40.33%
1-40.53%
2-40.43%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
29.20%
13.90%
3.31%
0.52%
1
22.05%
10.49%
2.50%
0.40%
2
8.32%
3.96%
0.94%
0.15%
3
2.10%
1.00%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.40%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-022.05%
2-08.32%
2-13.96%
3-02.10%
3-11.00%
3-20.24%
4-00.40%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-029.20%
1-110.49%
2-20.94%
Newcastle United
0-113.90%
0-23.31%
1-22.50%
0-30.52%
1-30.40%
2-30.15%