Leeds United at Southampton

Updated

Leeds United

35.9%27.5%36.6%
Leeds United WinDrawSouthampton Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.22
0Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Watford-135
L 2-1 vs West Ham United+195
T 1-1 at Newcastle United+130
L 3-0 vs Liverpool+395
T 1-1 at Burnley+123
Southampton
Money Line
L 1-3 at Chelsea+675
L 1-0 vs Wolverhampton+115
T 0-0 at Manchester City+1500
T 0-0 vs West Ham United+205
T 2-2 at Newcastle United+194

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+170+245+245+243+221+245+245+262.9
Southampton+155+110+110+118+121+110+121+116.7
Draw+255+260+270+266+239+270+270+280.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+200-+237-+180+235+237+262.9
Southampton+130-+109-+115+110+115+116.7
Draw+255-+261-+230+260+261+280.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Southampton: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +246 to +211
Southampton ML moved from +137 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 30.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +206 to +189
Southampton ML moved from +124 to +109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o2¾-110o2¾-113o2¾-104-o2¾-113o2¾-104o2¾-101
Underu2¾+102u2¾-110u2¾-107u2¾-106-u2¾-107u2¾-106u2¾+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o2½-140o2½-136-o2½-150o2½-140o2½-136o2¾-101
Underu3-135u2½+120u2½+116-u2½+120u2½+120u2½+120u2¾+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-125 to o2½-150
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.87%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 412.73%
Exactly 62.49%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.49%
Exactly 321.02%
Exactly 56.17%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 030.15%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 38.66%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 029.42%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.58%
Exactly 220.49%
Exactly 42.15%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.66%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 057.40%
Exactly 131.87%
Exactly 28.85%
Exactly 31.64%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 056.76%
Exactly 132.15%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals15.04%
Wins by 3+ goals4.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals15.79%
Wins by 3+ goals5.25%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal20.60%
Wins by 2 goals10.13%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal21.01%
Wins by 2 goals10.54%
Wins by 3 goals3.86%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.13%8.87%
1.569.64%30.36%
2.543.62%56.38%
3.522.60%77.40%
4.59.87%90.13%
5.53.70%96.30%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.85%30.15%
1.533.71%66.29%
2.512.03%87.97%
3.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.58%29.42%
1.534.58%65.42%
2.512.56%87.44%
3.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.42%32.58%
1.530.89%69.11%
2.510.40%89.60%
3.52.74%97.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Southampton
Score012345
0
8.87%
10.85%
6.64%
2.71%
0.83%
0.20%
1
10.64%
13.01%
7.96%
3.25%
0.99%
0.24%
2
6.38%
7.80%
4.77%
1.95%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.55%
3.12%
1.91%
0.78%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.76%
0.93%
0.57%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.18%
0.22%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-010.64%
2-06.38%
2-17.80%
3-02.55%
3-13.12%
3-21.91%
4-00.76%
4-10.93%
4-20.57%
4-30.23%
5-00.18%
5-10.22%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-08.87%
1-113.01%
2-24.77%
3-30.78%
Southampton
0-110.85%
0-26.64%
1-27.96%
0-32.71%
1-33.25%
2-31.95%
0-40.83%
1-40.99%
2-40.60%
3-40.24%
0-50.20%
1-50.24%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Southampton
Score01234
0
32.58%
18.45%
5.23%
0.99%
0.14%
1
18.09%
10.24%
2.90%
0.55%
0.08%
2
5.02%
2.84%
0.81%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.93%
0.53%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-018.09%
2-05.02%
2-12.84%
3-00.93%
3-10.53%
3-20.15%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-032.58%
1-110.24%
2-20.81%
Southampton
0-118.45%
0-25.23%
1-22.90%
0-30.99%
1-30.55%
2-30.15%
0-40.14%