Wolves at Aston Villa

Updated

Wolverhampton

26.9%24.0%49.1%
Wolves WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.70
3Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Wolverhampton
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Newcastle United-134
W 1-0 at Southampton+255
L 2-0 vs Brentford-120
W 2-0 at Watford+125
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+390
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 1-2 at Tottenham+255
W 1-0 at Manchester United+685
W 0-3 vs Everton+125
L 0-3 at Chelsea+890
T 1-1 vs Brentford+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+245+280+300+294+238+300+300+297.6
Aston Villa+120+115+110+113+129+110+129+120.8
Draw+230+215+225+233+204+225+233+238.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Wolves+245-+288-+215+260+288+297.6
Aston Villa+120-+105-+110+120+120+120.8
Draw+225-+226-+200+215+226+238.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Aston Villa: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolves ML moved from +307 to +294
Aston Villa ML moved from +123 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Wolves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Wolves: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Wolves ML moved from +299 to +288
Aston Villa ML moved from +112 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2-128o2-128o2-124-o2-128o2-124o2¼+118
Underu2¼+102u2+108u2+108u2+113-u2+108u2+113u2¼-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2-125o2-125-o2-130o2-125o2-125o2¼+118
Underu2½-135u2+105u2+105-u2+100u2+105u2+105u2¼-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-135 to u2+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.15%
Exactly 224.88%
Exactly 414.43%
Exactly 63.35%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.86%
Exactly 321.88%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Wolverhampton
Exactly 039.27%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 018.21%
Exactly 131.02%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 315.00%
Exactly 46.38%
Exactly 52.17%
Exactly 60.62%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.48%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wolverhampton
Exactly 064.87%
Exactly 128.07%
Exactly 26.08%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 045.45%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 214.13%
Exactly 33.71%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Wolverhampton
Wins by 2+ goals6.91%
Wins by 3+ goals1.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals30.62%
Wins by 3+ goals13.52%
Wins by 4+ goals4.88%
Wins by 5+ goals1.46%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Wolverhampton
Wins by 1 goal13.62%
Wins by 2 goals5.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.42%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals17.10%
Wins by 3 goals8.64%
Wins by 4 goals3.42%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.85%7.15%
1.573.99%26.01%
2.549.10%50.90%
3.527.23%72.77%
4.512.80%87.20%
5.55.19%94.81%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Wolverhampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.73%39.27%
1.524.02%75.98%
2.56.87%93.13%
3.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.79%18.21%
1.550.77%49.23%
2.524.36%75.64%
3.59.37%90.63%
4.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.52%29.48%
1.534.51%65.49%
2.512.52%87.48%
3.53.57%96.43%

Score Props

Correct Score

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.15%
12.18%
10.37%
5.89%
2.51%
0.85%
1
6.68%
11.38%
9.70%
5.50%
2.34%
0.80%
2
3.12%
5.32%
4.53%
2.57%
1.10%
0.37%
3
0.97%
1.66%
1.41%
0.80%
0.34%
0.12%
4
0.23%
0.39%
0.33%
0.19%
0.08%
0.03%
Wolverhampton
1-06.68%
2-03.12%
2-15.32%
3-00.97%
3-11.66%
3-21.41%
4-00.23%
4-10.39%
4-20.33%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-07.15%
1-111.38%
2-24.53%
3-30.80%
Aston Villa
0-112.18%
0-210.37%
1-29.70%
0-35.89%
1-35.50%
2-32.57%
0-42.51%
1-42.34%
2-41.10%
3-40.34%
0-50.85%
1-50.80%
2-50.37%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Wolves
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
29.48%
23.25%
9.17%
2.41%
0.48%
1
12.76%
10.06%
3.97%
1.04%
0.21%
2
2.76%
2.18%
0.86%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.40%
0.31%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Wolverhampton
1-012.76%
2-02.76%
2-12.18%
3-00.40%
3-10.31%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.48%
1-110.06%
2-20.86%
Aston Villa
0-123.25%
0-29.17%
1-23.97%
0-32.41%
1-31.04%
2-30.23%
0-40.48%
1-40.21%