Chelsea at Watford

Updated

Chelsea

58.4%20.3%21.3%
Chelsea WinDrawWatford Win
1.98Projected Goals 0.72
2Final Score 1

Watford

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Manchester United-180
W 3-0 at Leicester City-135
T 1-1 vs Burnley-365
W 3-0 at Newcastle United-235
W 0-7 vs Norwich City-493
Watford
Money Line
L 2-4 at Leicester City+390
W 1-4 vs Manchester United+540
L 0-1 at Arsenal+650
L 1-0 vs Southampton+225
W 5-2 at Everton+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-265-305-295-292-361-295-292-279.4
Watford+700+800+885+958+916+885+958+1039.4
Draw+390+400+435+441+461+435+461+468.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-275--325---335-325-279.4
Watford+775-+975--+950+975+1039.4
Draw+400-+412--+445+445+468.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -275 to -295
Watford ML moved from +750 to +725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Watford: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -320 to -330
Watford ML moved from +900 to +850

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-112o3+125-o2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-102
Underu2¾-108u2¾-112u2¾-108u3-140-u2¾-108u3-140u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o3+115o3+120-o3+105o3+120o3+120o2¾-102
Underu2½+115u3-135u3-140-u3-135u3-140u3-135u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-140
The Under moved from u3+110 to u3-135

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.70%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 414.90%
Exactly 63.63%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.12%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.05%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 013.79%
Exactly 127.32%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.87%
Exactly 48.85%
Exactly 53.51%
Exactly 61.16%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 048.60%
Exactly 135.07%
Exactly 212.65%
Exactly 33.04%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.62%
Exactly 222.40%
Exactly 42.92%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 39.34%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 039.96%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.81%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 071.60%
Exactly 123.92%
Exactly 24.00%
Exactly 30.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals41.60%
Wins by 3+ goals20.95%
Wins by 4+ goals8.68%
Wins by 5+ goals2.99%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals3.37%
Wins by 3+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal25.32%
Wins by 2 goals20.65%
Wins by 3 goals12.27%
Wins by 4 goals5.69%
Wins by 5 goals2.15%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal9.22%
Wins by 2 goals2.72%
Wins by 3 goals0.57%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.30%6.70%
1.575.18%24.82%
2.550.70%49.30%
3.528.64%71.36%
4.513.75%86.25%
5.55.69%94.31%
6.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.21%13.79%
1.558.88%41.12%
2.531.82%68.18%
3.513.95%86.05%
4.55.09%94.91%
5.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.40%48.60%
1.516.33%83.67%
2.53.68%96.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.38%28.62%
1.535.58%64.42%
2.513.18%86.82%
3.53.84%96.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Watford
Score0123
0
6.70%
4.84%
1.74%
0.42%
1
13.28%
9.58%
3.46%
0.83%
2
13.15%
9.49%
3.42%
0.82%
3
8.69%
6.27%
2.26%
0.54%
4
4.30%
3.10%
1.12%
0.27%
5
1.70%
1.23%
0.44%
0.11%
Chelsea
1-013.28%
2-013.15%
2-19.49%
3-08.69%
3-16.27%
3-22.26%
4-04.30%
4-13.10%
4-21.12%
4-30.27%
5-01.70%
5-11.23%
5-20.44%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-06.70%
1-19.58%
2-23.42%
3-30.54%
Watford
0-14.84%
0-21.74%
1-23.46%
0-30.42%
1-30.83%
2-30.82%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Watford
Score0123
0
28.62%
9.56%
1.60%
0.18%
1
26.25%
8.77%
1.46%
0.16%
2
12.04%
4.02%
0.67%
0.07%
3
3.68%
1.23%
0.21%
0.02%
4
0.84%
0.28%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-026.25%
2-012.04%
2-14.02%
3-03.68%
3-11.23%
3-20.21%
4-00.84%
4-10.28%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-028.62%
1-18.77%
2-20.67%
Watford
0-19.56%
0-21.60%
1-21.46%
0-30.18%
1-30.16%