Liverpool at Burnley

Updated

Liverpool

80.9%12.8%6.2%
Liverpool WinDrawWin
2.69Projected Goals 0.62
1Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+140
W 3-2 at Newcastle United+130
W 2-4 vs Bournemouth-375
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-285
L 2-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+195
Burnley
Money Line
L 2-3 at Manchester United+700
W 0-2 vs Sunderland+131
L 0-3 at Tottenham+700
L 2-1 vs Nottingham Forest+184
L 1-2 at Tottenham+680

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-320-306-315-317-332-317-306-276.5
Burnley+800+817+800+875+821+875+875+909.3
Draw+450+464+450+480+461+480+480+500.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool-315--322-340-350-315-315-276.5
Burnley+825-+850+800+750+800+850+909.3
Draw+450-+460+450+410+450+460+500.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -310 to -317
Burnley ML moved from +750 to +725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 20.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from -315 to -322
Burnley ML moved from +840 to +827

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-126o3-120o3-121o3-123o3-121o3-120o3-112
Underu3-115u3+108u3+100u3+105u3+101u3+105u3+108u3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-125o3-125o3-125o3-135o3-130o3-125o3-112
Underu3-105u3+105u3+105u3+105u3+105u3+110u3+110u3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.1%
 
No56.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.66%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 418.26%
Exactly 66.66%
Exactly 81.30%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.10%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 512.08%
Exactly 73.15%
Exactly 90.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 06.81%
Exactly 118.29%
Exactly 224.58%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 414.79%
Exactly 57.95%
Exactly 63.56%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 80.46%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 053.72%
Exactly 133.38%
Exactly 210.37%
Exactly 32.15%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.61%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 44.96%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.11%
Exactly 312.95%
Exactly 51.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 028.81%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 39.25%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 075.00%
Exactly 121.58%
Exactly 23.10%
Exactly 30.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals60.24%
Wins by 3+ goals37.97%
Wins by 4+ goals20.30%
Wins by 5+ goals9.30%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals1.41%
Wins by 3+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal20.66%
Wins by 2 goals22.27%
Wins by 3 goals17.67%
Wins by 4 goals11.00%
Wins by 5 goals5.61%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal4.77%
Wins by 2 goals1.18%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.34%3.66%
1.584.25%15.75%
2.564.23%35.77%
3.542.16%57.84%
4.523.90%76.10%
5.511.82%88.18%
6.55.15%94.85%
7.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.19%6.81%
1.574.90%25.10%
2.550.33%49.67%
3.528.31%71.69%
4.513.52%86.48%
5.55.57%94.43%
6.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.28%53.72%
1.512.90%87.10%
2.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.39%21.61%
1.545.28%54.72%
2.519.92%80.08%
3.56.97%93.03%
4.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Burnley
Score0123
0
3.66%
2.27%
0.71%
0.15%
1
9.83%
6.10%
1.90%
0.39%
2
13.20%
8.20%
2.55%
0.53%
3
11.83%
7.35%
2.28%
0.47%
4
7.95%
4.94%
1.53%
0.32%
5
4.27%
2.65%
0.82%
0.17%
Liverpool
1-09.83%
2-013.20%
2-18.20%
3-011.83%
3-17.35%
3-22.28%
4-07.95%
4-14.94%
4-21.53%
4-30.32%
5-04.27%
5-12.65%
5-20.82%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-03.66%
1-16.10%
2-22.55%
3-30.47%
Burnley
0-12.27%
0-20.71%
1-21.90%
0-30.15%
1-30.39%
2-30.53%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Burnley
Score0123
0
21.61%
6.22%
0.89%
0.09%
1
26.89%
7.74%
1.11%
0.11%
2
16.73%
4.81%
0.69%
0.07%
3
6.94%
2.00%
0.29%
0.03%
4
2.16%
0.62%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.54%
0.15%
0.02%
0.00%
6
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-026.89%
2-016.73%
2-14.81%
3-06.94%
3-12.00%
3-20.29%
4-02.16%
4-10.62%
5-00.54%
5-10.15%
6-00.11%
Draw
0-021.61%
1-17.74%
2-20.69%
Burnley
0-16.22%
0-20.89%
1-21.11%
1-30.11%