Crystal Palace at Manchester City

Updated

Crystal Palace

4.1%10.1%85.8%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.54Projected Goals 2.96
2Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Crystal Palace
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Aston Villa+148
T 1-1 at Liverpool+1300
L 2-0 vs Arsenal+340
W 0-1 vs Manchester United+175
L 2-3 at Everton+365
Manchester City
Money Line
T 3-3 at Newcastle United-240
W 0-4 vs Bournemouth-2000
W 2-0 at West Ham United-280
W 2-3 vs Aston Villa-650
T 2-2 at West Ham United-275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+1700+1420+1300+1500+1415+1500+1500+1568.4
Manchester City-675-515-550-565-608-565-515-450.6
Draw+700+631+575+715+614+715+715+721.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Crystal Palace+1350-+1450--+1550+1550+1568.4
Manchester City-585--600---640-600-450.6
Draw+670-+680--+680+680+721.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +1512 to +1415
Manchester City ML moved from -550 to -575

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Crystal Palace: 0.0%
Manchester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Crystal Palace: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Crystal Palace ML moved from +1548 to +1450
Manchester City ML moved from -625 to -670

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-102o3-144o3¼-102o3¼+104-o3¼+104o3¼+104o3½+130
Underu3½-118u3+122u3¼-118u3¼-120-u3¼-120u3+122u3½-130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+120o3-128-o3½+115o3-135o3-128o3½+130
Underu3½-130u3½-140u3+108-u3½-145u3+115u3½-140u3½-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-140 to u3+103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.3%
 
No60.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.02%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 418.88%
Exactly 67.70%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.58%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 513.21%
Exactly 73.85%
Exactly 90.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Crystal Palace
Exactly 058.54%
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 28.39%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 05.16%
Exactly 115.30%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.59%
Exactly 59.84%
Exactly 64.86%
Exactly 72.06%
Exactly 80.76%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.79%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 45.68%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 314.02%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Crystal Palace
Exactly 078.04%
Exactly 119.35%
Exactly 22.40%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 025.36%
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 310.92%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Crystal Palace
Wins by 2+ goals0.83%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals67.46%
Wins by 3+ goals45.61%
Wins by 4+ goals26.40%
Wins by 5+ goals13.16%
Wins by 6+ goals5.69%
Wins by 7+ goals2.14%
Wins by 8+ goals0.67%
Wins by 9+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Crystal Palace
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Crystal Palace
Wins by 1 goal3.29%
Wins by 2 goals0.71%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal18.21%
Wins by 2 goals21.85%
Wins by 3 goals19.22%
Wins by 4 goals13.24%
Wins by 5 goals7.47%
Wins by 6 goals3.56%
Wins by 7 goals1.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.52%
Wins by 9 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.98%3.02%
1.586.40%13.60%
2.567.90%32.10%
3.546.31%53.69%
4.527.44%72.56%
5.514.22%85.78%
6.56.52%93.48%
7.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Crystal Palace Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.46%58.54%
1.510.11%89.89%
2.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.84%5.16%
1.579.53%20.47%
2.556.86%43.14%
3.534.46%65.54%
4.517.86%82.14%
5.58.03%91.97%
6.53.17%96.83%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.21%19.79%
1.548.15%51.85%
2.522.18%77.82%
3.58.16%91.84%
4.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.02%
8.96%
13.27%
13.11%
9.71%
5.76%
1
1.62%
4.80%
7.11%
7.02%
5.20%
3.08%
2
0.43%
1.28%
1.90%
1.88%
1.39%
0.83%
Crystal Palace
1-01.62%
2-00.43%
2-11.28%
Draw
0-03.02%
1-14.80%
2-21.90%
3-30.34%
Manchester City
0-18.96%
0-213.27%
1-27.11%
0-313.11%
1-37.02%
2-31.88%
0-49.71%
1-45.20%
2-41.39%
3-40.25%
0-55.76%
1-53.08%
2-50.83%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Crystal Palace
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
19.79%
27.15%
18.63%
8.52%
2.92%
0.80%
0.18%
1
4.91%
6.73%
4.62%
2.11%
0.72%
0.20%
0.05%
2
0.61%
0.83%
0.57%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Crystal Palace
1-04.91%
2-00.61%
2-10.83%
Draw
0-019.79%
1-16.73%
2-20.57%
Manchester City
0-127.15%
0-218.63%
1-24.62%
0-38.52%
1-32.11%
2-30.26%
0-42.92%
1-40.72%
0-50.80%
1-50.20%
0-60.18%