Chelsea at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Chelsea

63.6%21.5%14.9%
Chelsea WinDrawWin
1.91Projected Goals 0.79
1Final Score 1

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bournemouth-290
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+245
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+175
L 1-4 at Brighton and Hove Albion+136
T 1-1 vs Manchester United+120
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
L 0-3 at Manchester United+850
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+220
T 2-2 vs Brentford+155
L 0-5 at Arsenal+1300
W 0-1 vs Liverpool+1000

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-145-162-170-165-160-165-160-149.4
Nott'ham Forest+400+470+460+485+487+485+487+503.0
Draw+285+306+310+315+314+315+315+325.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-150--170--210-170-170-149.4
Nott'ham Forest+425-+465-+430+490+490+503.0
Draw+285-+307-+280+300+307+325.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 10.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -160 to -170
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +490 to +480

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 10.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -190 to -210
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +477 to +465

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-121o2½-115o2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½-100
Underu2½-115u2½+103u2½-105u2½-108u2½-107u2½-108u2½+103u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-110o2½-115-o2½-120o2½-115o2½-110o2½-100
Underu2½-110u2½-110u2½-105-u2½-110u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.74%
Exactly 224.51%
Exactly 414.86%
Exactly 63.60%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.18%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.02%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 014.88%
Exactly 128.35%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 317.15%
Exactly 48.17%
Exactly 53.11%
Exactly 60.99%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 045.29%
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 214.21%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.69%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 39.31%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 041.39%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 216.10%
Exactly 34.73%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 069.30%
Exactly 125.42%
Exactly 24.66%
Exactly 30.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals38.27%
Wins by 3+ goals18.61%
Wins by 4+ goals7.43%
Wins by 5+ goals2.47%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals4.36%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal25.29%
Wins by 2 goals19.67%
Wins by 3 goals11.18%
Wins by 4 goals4.97%
Wins by 5 goals1.80%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal10.52%
Wins by 2 goals3.40%
Wins by 3 goals0.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.26%6.74%
1.575.08%24.92%
2.550.57%49.43%
3.528.53%71.47%
4.513.67%86.33%
5.55.65%94.35%
6.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.12%14.88%
1.556.77%43.23%
2.529.76%70.24%
3.512.62%87.38%
4.54.45%95.55%
5.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.71%45.29%
1.518.84%81.16%
2.54.63%95.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.31%28.69%
1.535.49%64.51%
2.513.13%86.87%
3.53.82%96.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
6.74%
5.34%
2.11%
0.56%
0.11%
1
12.84%
10.17%
4.03%
1.06%
0.21%
2
12.23%
9.69%
3.84%
1.01%
0.20%
3
7.77%
6.15%
2.44%
0.64%
0.13%
4
3.70%
2.93%
1.16%
0.31%
0.06%
5
1.41%
1.12%
0.44%
0.12%
0.02%
Chelsea
1-012.84%
2-012.23%
2-19.69%
3-07.77%
3-16.15%
3-22.44%
4-03.70%
4-12.93%
4-21.16%
4-30.31%
5-01.41%
5-11.12%
5-20.44%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.74%
1-110.17%
2-23.84%
3-30.64%
Nottingham Forest
0-15.34%
0-22.11%
1-24.03%
0-30.56%
1-31.06%
2-31.01%
0-40.11%
1-40.21%
2-40.20%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Score0123
0
28.69%
10.52%
1.93%
0.24%
1
25.30%
9.28%
1.70%
0.21%
2
11.16%
4.09%
0.75%
0.09%
3
3.28%
1.20%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.72%
0.27%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-025.30%
2-011.16%
2-14.09%
3-03.28%
3-11.20%
3-20.22%
4-00.72%
4-10.27%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-028.69%
1-19.28%
2-20.75%
Nottingham Forest
0-110.52%
0-21.93%
1-21.70%
0-30.24%
1-30.21%