Southampton at Manchester Utd

Updated

Southampton

8.5%14.4%77.1%
WinDrawManchester Utd Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.63
1Final Score 3

Manchester United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 5-0 vs Brentford+220
L 1-2 at Crystal Palace+550
L 1-0 vs West Ham United+210
T 0-0 at Fulham+600
L 5-0 vs Tottenham+325
Manchester United
Money Line
T 2-2 at Liverpool+750
L 2-0 vs Newcastle United+180
L 0-2 at Wolverhampton-120
L 3-0 vs Bournemouth-115
W 2-1 at Manchester City+460

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+881+986+1000+960+978+960+1000+997.2
Manchester Utd-332-361-400-340-377-340-340-294.5
Draw+490+506+500+495+499+495+506+515.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+860-+1200--+850+1200+997.2
Manchester Utd-350--440---340-340-294.5
Draw+490-+520--+475+520+515.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1000 to +960
Manchester Utd ML moved from -385 to -400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 30.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +845 to +820
Manchester Utd ML moved from -340 to -440

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-128o3-117o3-110o3-113o3-113o3-113o3-110o3-105
Underu3+109u3+100u3-110u3-103u3-107u3-103u3+100u3+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3-115o3-115o3-120o3-125o3-115o3-115o3-105
Underu3+105u3-105u3-105u3+100u3-105u3-105u3+100u3+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.34%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 418.58%
Exactly 67.16%
Exactly 81.48%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.35%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 512.64%
Exactly 73.48%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 046.38%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 213.69%
Exactly 33.51%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 07.20%
Exactly 118.94%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 414.38%
Exactly 57.57%
Exactly 63.32%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 80.41%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.72%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 45.30%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 313.47%
Exactly 51.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 070.06%
Exactly 124.93%
Exactly 24.43%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 029.57%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 38.91%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals2.32%
Wins by 3+ goals0.48%
Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals55.85%
Wins by 3+ goals34.24%
Wins by 4+ goals17.82%
Wins by 5+ goals7.95%
Wins by 6+ goals3.07%
Wins by 7+ goals1.03%
Wins by 8+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Manchester United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal6.19%
Wins by 2 goals1.84%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal21.21%
Wins by 2 goals21.60%
Wins by 3 goals16.42%
Wins by 4 goals9.87%
Wins by 5 goals4.88%
Wins by 6 goals2.04%
Wins by 7 goals0.74%
Wins by 8 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.66%3.34%
1.585.31%14.69%
2.566.02%33.98%
3.544.16%55.84%
4.525.58%74.42%
5.512.94%87.06%
6.55.78%94.22%
7.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.62%46.38%
1.517.99%82.01%
2.54.30%95.70%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.80%7.20%
1.573.86%26.14%
2.548.95%51.05%
3.527.09%72.91%
4.512.71%87.29%
5.55.14%94.86%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.28%20.72%
1.546.67%53.33%
2.521.00%79.00%
3.57.53%92.47%
4.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Manchester United
Score012345
0
3.34%
8.78%
11.56%
10.14%
6.67%
3.51%
1
2.56%
6.75%
8.88%
7.79%
5.12%
2.70%
2
0.99%
2.59%
3.41%
2.99%
1.97%
1.04%
3
0.25%
0.66%
0.87%
0.77%
0.50%
0.27%
Southampton
1-02.56%
2-00.99%
2-12.59%
3-00.25%
3-10.66%
3-20.87%
Draw
0-03.34%
1-16.75%
2-23.41%
3-30.77%
Manchester United
0-18.78%
0-211.56%
1-28.88%
0-310.14%
1-37.79%
2-32.99%
0-46.67%
1-45.12%
2-41.97%
3-40.50%
0-53.51%
1-52.70%
2-51.04%
3-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Manchester United
Score012345
0
20.72%
25.24%
15.38%
6.25%
1.90%
0.46%
1
7.37%
8.98%
5.47%
2.22%
0.68%
0.16%
2
1.31%
1.60%
0.97%
0.40%
0.12%
0.03%
3
0.16%
0.19%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-07.37%
2-01.31%
2-11.60%
3-00.16%
3-10.19%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-020.72%
1-18.98%
2-20.97%
Manchester United
0-125.24%
0-215.38%
1-25.47%
0-36.25%
1-32.22%
2-30.40%
0-41.90%
1-40.68%
2-40.12%
0-50.46%
1-50.16%