Liverpool at Arsenal

Updated

Liverpool

43.6%26.6%29.8%
Liverpool WinDrawArsenal Win
1.40Projected Goals 1.11
2Final Score 3

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
T 3-3 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-225
T 0-0 at Everton-280
W 1-2 vs Newcastle United-360
W 0-9 vs Bournemouth-765
L 1-2 at Manchester United-145
Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Tottenham-105
W 3-0 at Brentford-130
L 1-3 at Manchester United+170
W 1-2 vs Aston Villa-195
W 1-2 vs Fulham-270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+155+164+160+168+155+168+168+179.7
Arsenal+165+158+150+148+148+148+158+161.3
Draw+245+265+255+285+273+285+285+284.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+165-+160-+135+160+160+179.7
Arsenal+155-+150-+135+160+160+161.3
Draw+255-+274-+250+260+274+284.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +175 to +168
Arsenal ML moved from +160 to +154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 30.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +145 to +130
Arsenal ML moved from +154 to +148

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3-126o3-122o3-118-o3-118o3-118o3-109
Underu2¾+100u3+106u3+102u3+102-u3+102u3+106u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-120o3-120-o3-125o3-120o3-120o3-109
Underu3-120u3+100u3+100-u3-105u3+100u3+100u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.12%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 413.45%
Exactly 62.83%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.39%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.75%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 024.62%
Exactly 134.51%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 311.30%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 51.11%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 032.97%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.29%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.27%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 38.19%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 052.26%
Exactly 133.91%
Exactly 211.00%
Exactly 32.38%
Exactly 40.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 059.83%
Exactly 130.73%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals20.72%
Wins by 3+ goals7.73%
Wins by 4+ goals2.31%
Wins by 5+ goals0.55%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals11.61%
Wins by 3+ goals3.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Arsenal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal22.84%
Wins by 2 goals13.00%
Wins by 3 goals5.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.46%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal18.08%
Wins by 2 goals8.14%
Wins by 3 goals2.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.88%8.12%
1.571.49%28.51%
2.545.90%54.10%
3.524.47%75.53%
4.511.03%88.97%
5.54.28%95.72%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.38%24.62%
1.540.87%59.13%
2.516.68%83.32%
3.55.39%94.61%
4.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.03%32.97%
1.530.44%69.56%
2.510.15%89.85%
3.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.73%31.27%
1.532.38%67.62%
2.511.25%88.75%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Arsenal
Score012345
0
8.12%
9.01%
5.00%
1.85%
0.51%
0.11%
1
11.38%
12.62%
7.00%
2.59%
0.72%
0.16%
2
7.97%
8.85%
4.91%
1.81%
0.50%
0.11%
3
3.72%
4.13%
2.29%
0.85%
0.24%
0.05%
4
1.30%
1.45%
0.80%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.37%
0.41%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-011.38%
2-07.97%
2-18.85%
3-03.72%
3-14.13%
3-22.29%
4-01.30%
4-11.45%
4-20.80%
4-30.30%
5-00.37%
5-10.41%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.12%
1-112.62%
2-24.91%
3-30.85%
Arsenal
0-19.01%
0-25.00%
1-27.00%
0-31.85%
1-32.59%
2-31.81%
0-40.51%
1-40.72%
2-40.50%
3-40.24%
0-50.11%
1-50.16%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Arsenal
Score0123
0
31.27%
16.06%
4.13%
0.71%
1
20.29%
10.42%
2.68%
0.46%
2
6.58%
3.38%
0.87%
0.15%
3
1.42%
0.73%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.23%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Liverpool
1-020.29%
2-06.58%
2-13.38%
3-01.42%
3-10.73%
3-20.19%
4-00.23%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-031.27%
1-110.42%
2-20.87%
Arsenal
0-116.06%
0-24.13%
1-22.68%
0-30.71%
1-30.46%
2-30.15%