Newcastle Utd at Liverpool

Updated

Newcastle United

4.7%10.5%84.8%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.60Projected Goals 2.98
1Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Wolverhampton+195
T 3-3 vs Manchester City+650
T 0-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+200
W 0-2 vs Nottingham Forest-170
W 2-1 at Burnley+210
Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-9 vs Bournemouth-765
L 1-2 at Manchester United-145
T 1-1 vs Crystal Palace-440
T 2-2 at Fulham-378
W 1-3 vs Wolverhampton-720

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+625+921+825+950+988+950+988+977.1
Liverpool-250-352-375-350-434-350-350-317.0
Draw+390+512+500+515+544+515+544+580.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+825-+915--+900+950+977.1
Liverpool-330--360---360-360-317.0
Draw+475-+485--+500+500+580.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Liverpool: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +850 to +825
Liverpool ML moved from -360 to -375

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Liverpool: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +800 to +750
Liverpool ML moved from -345 to -360

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3½-104o3½+100o3½+102-o3½+102o3½+102o3½+104
Underu3-115u3½-114u3½-120u3½-118-u3½-118u3½-114u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3½+105o3½+105-o3½-105o3½+100o3½+105o3½+104
Underu3+115u3½-125u3½-125-u3½-125u3½-120u3½-120u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.7%
 
No57.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.80%
Exactly 217.89%
Exactly 419.07%
Exactly 68.13%
Exactly 81.86%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.00%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 513.64%
Exactly 74.16%
Exactly 90.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 055.05%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 29.81%
Exactly 31.95%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 05.08%
Exactly 115.14%
Exactly 222.55%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.69%
Exactly 59.95%
Exactly 64.94%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 80.78%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.09%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 45.98%
Exactly 60.55%
 
Exactly 131.61%
Exactly 314.45%
Exactly 51.98%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 075.85%
Exactly 120.96%
Exactly 22.90%
Exactly 30.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 025.16%
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 311.02%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.02%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals66.42%
Wins by 3+ goals44.80%
Wins by 4+ goals25.90%
Wins by 5+ goals12.91%
Wins by 6+ goals5.59%
Wins by 7+ goals2.10%
Wins by 8+ goals0.66%
Wins by 9+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal3.66%
Wins by 2 goals0.86%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal18.30%
Wins by 2 goals21.62%
Wins by 3 goals18.90%
Wins by 4 goals12.98%
Wins by 5 goals7.32%
Wins by 6 goals3.49%
Wins by 7 goals1.44%
Wins by 8 goals0.52%
Wins by 9 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.20%2.80%
1.587.20%12.80%
2.569.31%30.69%
3.547.99%52.01%
4.528.91%71.09%
5.515.27%84.73%
6.57.14%92.86%
7.52.98%97.02%
8.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.95%55.05%
1.512.09%87.91%
2.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.92%5.08%
1.579.78%20.22%
2.557.23%42.77%
3.534.83%65.17%
4.518.14%81.86%
5.58.19%91.81%
6.53.25%96.75%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.91%19.09%
1.549.30%50.70%
2.523.12%76.88%
3.58.67%91.33%
4.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Liverpool
Score012345
0
2.80%
8.33%
12.42%
12.33%
9.19%
5.48%
1
1.67%
4.97%
7.41%
7.36%
5.48%
3.27%
2
0.50%
1.48%
2.21%
2.20%
1.64%
0.98%
Newcastle United
1-01.67%
2-00.50%
2-11.48%
Draw
0-02.80%
1-14.97%
2-22.21%
3-30.44%
Liverpool
0-18.33%
0-212.42%
1-27.41%
0-312.33%
1-37.36%
2-32.20%
0-49.19%
1-45.48%
2-41.64%
3-40.33%
0-55.48%
1-53.27%
2-50.98%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
19.09%
26.34%
18.17%
8.36%
2.88%
0.80%
0.18%
1
5.28%
7.28%
5.02%
2.31%
0.80%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.73%
1.01%
0.69%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-05.28%
2-00.73%
2-11.01%
Draw
0-019.09%
1-17.28%
2-20.69%
Liverpool
0-126.34%
0-218.17%
1-25.02%
0-38.36%
1-32.31%
2-30.32%
0-42.88%
1-40.80%
2-40.11%
0-50.80%
1-50.22%
0-60.18%