Southampton at Liverpool

Updated

Southampton

2.8%6.9%90.3%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.58Projected Goals 3.57
1Final Score 3

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 0-4 at Chelsea+1625
L 4-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+500
L 3-1 vs Bournemouth+500
W 2-1 at Ipswich Town+293
L 3-1 vs Newcastle United+590
Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Newcastle United-250
W 2-0 at Manchester City+115
T 2-2 at Aston Villa-115
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-424
T 2-2 at Everton-240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1821+2104+2100+2400+2210+2400+2400+2488.1
Liverpool-895-933-1000-900-1138-900-900-665.5
Draw+1031+993+1000+950+981+950+1000+987.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1850-+2300--+1600+2300+2488.1
Liverpool-1000--1000---850-1000-665.5
Draw+1025-+938--+945+945+987.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Liverpool: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +2113 to +2043
Liverpool ML moved from -912 to -933

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Liverpool: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1800 to +1600
Liverpool ML moved from -825 to -1000

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-106o4+113o3¾-118o3¾-110o3¾-116o3¾-110o3¾-110o3¾-102
Underu4-111u4-132u3¾-102u3¾-106u3¾-104u3¾-106u4-132u3¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-115o3½-130o3½-140o4+105o4+100o3½-130o3½-130o3¾-102
Underu4-105u3½+110u3½+120u4-125u4-130u3½+110u4-125u3¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-112 to o4-101
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-125 to o4+100
The Under moved from u4-120 to u3½+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.58%
Exactly 213.59%
Exactly 419.48%
Exactly 611.17%
Exactly 83.43%
Exactly 100.66%
 
Exactly 16.56%
Exactly 318.79%
Exactly 516.16%
Exactly 76.62%
Exactly 91.58%
Exactly 110.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 056.30%
Exactly 132.34%
Exactly 29.29%
Exactly 31.78%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 02.81%
Exactly 110.03%
Exactly 217.92%
Exactly 321.34%
Exactly 419.06%
Exactly 513.62%
Exactly 68.11%
Exactly 74.14%
Exactly 81.85%
Exactly 90.73%
Exactly 100.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 014.66%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 48.30%
Exactly 61.02%
 
Exactly 128.15%
Exactly 317.30%
Exactly 53.19%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 076.65%
Exactly 120.39%
Exactly 22.71%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 019.12%
Exactly 131.63%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 314.43%
Exactly 45.97%
Exactly 51.97%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals0.57%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals76.35%
Wins by 3+ goals57.33%
Wins by 4+ goals37.73%
Wins by 5+ goals21.76%
Wins by 6+ goals11.04%
Wins by 7+ goals4.95%
Wins by 8+ goals1.95%
Wins by 9+ goals0.65%
Wins by 10+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal2.21%
Wins by 2 goals0.48%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal13.80%
Wins by 2 goals19.02%
Wins by 3 goals19.60%
Wins by 4 goals15.97%
Wins by 5 goals10.71%
Wins by 6 goals6.09%
Wins by 7 goals3.00%
Wins by 8 goals1.30%
Wins by 9 goals0.50%
Wins by 10 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.42%1.58%
1.591.86%8.14%
2.578.27%21.73%
3.559.48%40.52%
4.539.99%60.01%
5.523.83%76.17%
6.512.66%87.34%
7.56.04%93.96%
8.52.61%97.39%
9.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.70%56.30%
1.511.36%88.64%
2.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.19%2.81%
1.587.16%12.84%
2.569.24%30.76%
3.547.90%52.10%
4.528.84%71.16%
5.515.22%84.78%
6.57.11%92.89%
7.52.97%97.03%
8.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.34%14.66%
1.557.20%42.80%
2.530.17%69.83%
3.512.88%87.12%
4.54.57%95.43%
5.51.39%98.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Liverpool
Score012345
0
1.58%
5.65%
10.09%
12.02%
10.73%
7.67%
1
0.91%
3.24%
5.80%
6.90%
6.17%
4.41%
2
0.26%
0.93%
1.66%
1.98%
1.77%
1.27%
Southampton
1-00.91%
2-00.26%
2-10.93%
Draw
0-01.58%
1-13.24%
2-21.66%
3-30.38%
Liverpool
0-15.65%
0-210.09%
1-25.80%
0-312.02%
1-36.90%
2-31.98%
0-410.73%
1-46.17%
2-41.77%
3-40.34%
0-57.67%
1-54.41%
2-51.27%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
14.66%
24.25%
20.06%
11.06%
4.57%
1.51%
0.42%
1
3.90%
6.45%
5.33%
2.94%
1.22%
0.40%
0.11%
2
0.52%
0.86%
0.71%
0.39%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Southampton
1-03.90%
2-00.52%
2-10.86%
Draw
0-014.66%
1-16.45%
2-20.71%
Liverpool
0-124.25%
0-220.06%
1-25.33%
0-311.06%
1-32.94%
2-30.39%
0-44.57%
1-41.22%
2-40.16%
0-51.51%
1-50.40%
0-60.42%
1-60.11%