Brighton at Southampton

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

61.8%21.3%16.9%
Brighton WinDrawWin
1.96Projected Goals 0.92
4Final Score 0

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Chelsea+185
L 0-7 at Nottingham Forest+185
L 1-0 vs Everton-150
W 3-1 at Manchester United+220
W 2-0 at Ipswich Town+105
Southampton
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Bournemouth+500
W 2-1 at Ipswich Town+293
L 3-1 vs Newcastle United+590
L 2-3 at Nottingham Forest+716
L 1-3 at Manchester United+1200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton-170-176-185-178-186-178-176-161.8
Southampton+420+462+460+480+462+480+480+500.8
Draw+340+347+360+348+351+348+360+364.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton-170--190-175-190-200-175-161.8
Southampton+425-+470+415+420+500+500+500.8
Draw+335-+350+325+310+355+355+364.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from -188 to -196
Southampton ML moved from +460 to +440

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from -190 to -205
Southampton ML moved from +535 to +500

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-122o3-120o3¼+103o3¼+100o3¼+103o3-120o3¼+110
Underu3-115u3+104u3+100u3¼-119u3¼-122u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-115o3-120o3-115o3-110o3-120o3-110o3¼+110
Underu3-115u3-105u3+100u3-105u3-120u3+100u3+100u3¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-120
The Under moved from u3+100 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.60%
Exactly 223.27%
Exactly 416.10%
Exactly 64.46%
Exactly 80.66%
 
Exactly 116.15%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.28%
Exactly 71.83%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 014.02%
Exactly 127.55%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.72%
Exactly 48.70%
Exactly 53.42%
Exactly 61.12%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 039.96%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.81%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.34%
Exactly 223.44%
Exactly 43.48%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.14%
Exactly 310.42%
Exactly 50.93%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 040.27%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.66%
Exactly 35.05%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 065.40%
Exactly 127.77%
Exactly 25.90%
Exactly 30.83%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals37.32%
Wins by 3+ goals18.36%
Wins by 4+ goals7.45%
Wins by 5+ goals2.52%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals5.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.36%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal24.40%
Wins by 2 goals18.96%
Wins by 3 goals10.91%
Wins by 4 goals4.93%
Wins by 5 goals1.83%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal11.39%
Wins by 2 goals4.13%
Wins by 3 goals1.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.40%5.60%
1.578.24%21.76%
2.554.98%45.02%
3.532.63%67.37%
4.516.52%83.48%
5.57.25%92.75%
6.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.98%14.02%
1.558.43%41.57%
2.531.37%68.63%
3.513.65%86.35%
4.54.95%95.05%
5.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.04%39.96%
1.523.38%76.62%
2.56.57%93.43%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.66%26.34%
1.538.52%61.48%
2.515.08%84.92%
3.54.66%95.34%
4.51.18%98.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Southampton
Score01234
0
5.60%
5.14%
2.36%
0.72%
0.17%
1
11.01%
10.10%
4.63%
1.42%
0.32%
2
10.81%
9.92%
4.55%
1.39%
0.32%
3
7.08%
6.49%
2.98%
0.91%
0.21%
4
3.48%
3.19%
1.46%
0.45%
0.10%
5
1.37%
1.25%
0.57%
0.18%
0.04%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-011.01%
2-010.81%
2-19.92%
3-07.08%
3-16.49%
3-22.98%
4-03.48%
4-13.19%
4-21.46%
4-30.45%
5-01.37%
5-11.25%
5-20.57%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.60%
1-110.10%
2-24.55%
3-30.91%
4-40.10%
Southampton
0-15.14%
0-22.36%
1-24.63%
0-30.72%
1-31.42%
2-31.39%
0-40.17%
1-40.32%
2-40.32%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Southampton
Score0123
0
26.34%
11.18%
2.37%
0.34%
1
23.95%
10.17%
2.16%
0.31%
2
10.89%
4.63%
0.98%
0.14%
3
3.30%
1.40%
0.30%
0.04%
4
0.75%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-023.95%
2-010.89%
2-14.63%
3-03.30%
3-11.40%
3-20.30%
4-00.75%
4-10.32%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-026.34%
1-110.17%
2-20.98%
Southampton
0-111.18%
0-22.37%
1-22.16%
0-30.34%
1-30.31%
2-30.14%