Tottenham at Aston Villa

Updated

Tottenham

23.7%23.4%52.8%
Tottenham WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.77
0Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Tottenham
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+210
T 1-1 at West Ham United+274
L 1-5 at Liverpool+1150
L 2-1 vs Nottingham Forest+150
L 2-4 at Wolverhampton+212
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-0 at Bournemouth+165
W 0-1 vs Fulham-120
L 1-2 at Manchester City+280
W 1-4 vs Newcastle United+160
W 3-0 at Southampton-185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tottenham+500+913+800+1000+928+1000+1000+1038.4
Aston Villa-235-375-375-395-404-395-375-336.9
Draw+440+560+550+585+562+585+585+608.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tottenham+505-+950+800+635+950+950+1038.4
Aston Villa-270--420-425-330-400-330-336.9
Draw+410-+550+500+430+550+550+608.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tottenham: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tottenham: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tottenham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tottenham ML moved from +945 to +928
Aston Villa ML moved from -380 to -395

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tottenham: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tottenham: 50.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tottenham: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tottenham ML moved from +750 to +740
Aston Villa ML moved from -400 to -425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-120o3½-103o3½-108o3½-106o3½-108o3½-106o3½-103o3½+102
Underu3¼+100u3½-114u3½-112u3½-110u3½-112u3½-110u3½-110u3½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½-105o3½-105o3½+100o3½-105o3½-105o3½+100o3½+102
Underu3½-125u3½-115u3½-115u3½-120u3½-125u3½-115u3½-115u3½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes55.4%
 
No44.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.67%
Exactly 223.36%
Exactly 416.02%
Exactly 64.40%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.28%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.19%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Tottenham
Exactly 033.16%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 220.20%
Exactly 37.43%
Exactly 42.05%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 017.11%
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 315.69%
Exactly 46.92%
Exactly 52.44%
Exactly 60.72%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.49%
Exactly 223.37%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 310.35%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tottenham
Exactly 059.98%
Exactly 130.66%
Exactly 27.83%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 044.16%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 214.75%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tottenham
Wins by 2+ goals8.90%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals29.29%
Wins by 3+ goals13.11%
Wins by 4+ goals4.82%
Wins by 5+ goals1.48%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Tottenham
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Tottenham
Wins by 1 goal14.70%
Wins by 2 goals6.32%
Wins by 3 goals2.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.52%
Wins by 2 goals16.18%
Wins by 3 goals8.29%
Wins by 4 goals3.35%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.33%5.67%
1.578.04%21.96%
2.554.69%45.31%
3.532.35%67.65%
4.516.33%83.67%
5.57.13%92.87%
6.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Tottenham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.84%33.16%
1.530.24%69.76%
2.510.04%89.96%
3.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.89%17.11%
1.552.67%47.33%
2.526.01%73.99%
3.510.32%89.68%
4.53.39%96.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.51%26.49%
1.538.32%61.68%
2.514.95%85.05%
3.54.60%95.40%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tottenham
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
5.67%
10.02%
8.84%
5.20%
2.30%
0.81%
1
6.26%
11.06%
9.76%
5.74%
2.53%
0.89%
2
3.46%
6.10%
5.39%
3.17%
1.40%
0.49%
3
1.27%
2.25%
1.98%
1.17%
0.51%
0.18%
4
0.35%
0.62%
0.55%
0.32%
0.14%
0.05%
Tottenham
1-06.26%
2-03.46%
2-16.10%
3-01.27%
3-12.25%
3-21.98%
4-00.35%
4-10.62%
4-20.55%
4-30.32%
Draw
0-05.67%
1-111.06%
2-25.39%
3-31.17%
4-40.14%
Aston Villa
0-110.02%
0-28.84%
1-29.76%
0-35.20%
1-35.74%
2-33.17%
0-42.30%
1-42.53%
2-41.40%
3-40.51%
0-50.81%
1-50.89%
2-50.49%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Tottenham
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
26.49%
21.65%
8.85%
2.41%
0.49%
1
13.54%
11.07%
4.52%
1.23%
0.25%
2
3.46%
2.83%
1.16%
0.31%
0.06%
3
0.59%
0.48%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Tottenham
1-013.54%
2-03.46%
2-12.83%
3-00.59%
3-10.48%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-026.49%
1-111.07%
2-21.16%
Aston Villa
0-121.65%
0-28.85%
1-24.52%
0-32.41%
1-31.23%
2-30.31%
0-40.49%
1-40.25%