Southampton at Manchester City

Updated

Southampton

3.9%8.7%87.4%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.62Projected Goals 3.29
0Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Everton+130
L 0-1 at Aston Villa+260
L 0-1 at Wolverhampton+240
W 1-2 vs Chelsea+420
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+310
Manchester City
Money Line
W 3-6 vs Manchester United-250
W 3-0 at Wolverhampton-315
T 1-1 at Aston Villa-320
W 0-6 vs Nottingham Forest-1140
W 2-4 vs Crystal Palace-600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1500+1910+1600+1900+2047+2200+2200+2322.4
Manchester City-675-799-800-850-1055-900-799-669.0
Draw+725+886+800+1000+900+1000+1000+1026.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+1600-+1950--+1900+1950+2322.4
Manchester City-775--960---900-900-669.0
Draw+850-+950--+890+950+1026.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1700 to +1600
Manchester City ML moved from -800 to -850

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1930 to +1900
Manchester City ML moved from -875 to -960

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-105o4+104o4+102o3¾-117-o3¾-117o3¾-117o4+115
Underu3¾-115u4-124u4-122u3¾+101-u3¾+101u4-122u4-115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-135o4+100o4+107-o4-105o4+105o4+107o4+115
Underu3½+115u4-120u4-127-u4-125u4-125u4-120u4-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-135 to o4+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.01%
Exactly 215.34%
Exactly 419.52%
Exactly 69.93%
Exactly 82.71%
Exactly 100.46%
 
Exactly 17.85%
Exactly 319.98%
Exactly 515.25%
Exactly 75.54%
Exactly 91.18%
Exactly 110.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 053.98%
Exactly 133.28%
Exactly 210.26%
Exactly 32.11%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 03.72%
Exactly 112.25%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 418.19%
Exactly 511.97%
Exactly 66.57%
Exactly 73.09%
Exactly 81.27%
Exactly 90.46%
Exactly 100.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.38%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 47.31%
Exactly 60.80%
 
Exactly 129.63%
Exactly 316.16%
Exactly 52.65%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 075.17%
Exactly 121.46%
Exactly 23.06%
Exactly 30.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 021.79%
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 312.85%
Exactly 44.89%
Exactly 51.49%
Exactly 60.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals0.84%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals71.37%
Wins by 3+ goals50.99%
Wins by 4+ goals31.63%
Wins by 5+ goals17.08%
Wins by 6+ goals8.09%
Wins by 7+ goals3.38%
Wins by 8+ goals1.24%
Wins by 9+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Manchester City
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal2.99%
Wins by 2 goals0.71%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal16.01%
Wins by 2 goals20.38%
Wins by 3 goals19.37%
Wins by 4 goals14.55%
Wins by 5 goals8.99%
Wins by 6 goals4.71%
Wins by 7 goals2.14%
Wins by 8 goals0.86%
Wins by 9 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.99%2.01%
1.590.14%9.86%
2.574.80%25.20%
3.554.82%45.18%
4.535.31%64.69%
5.520.06%79.94%
6.510.12%89.88%
7.54.58%95.42%
8.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.02%53.98%
1.512.74%87.26%
2.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.28%3.72%
1.584.03%15.97%
2.563.87%36.13%
3.541.76%58.24%
4.523.57%76.43%
5.511.60%88.40%
6.55.04%94.96%
7.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.62%16.38%
1.553.99%46.01%
2.527.18%72.82%
3.511.02%88.98%
4.53.71%96.29%
5.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Manchester City
Score012345
0
2.01%
6.61%
10.88%
11.93%
9.82%
6.46%
1
1.24%
4.08%
6.71%
7.36%
6.05%
3.98%
2
0.38%
1.26%
2.07%
2.27%
1.87%
1.23%
Southampton
1-01.24%
2-00.38%
2-11.26%
Draw
0-02.01%
1-14.08%
2-22.07%
3-30.47%
Manchester City
0-16.61%
0-210.88%
1-26.71%
0-311.93%
1-37.36%
2-32.27%
0-49.82%
1-46.05%
2-41.87%
3-40.38%
0-56.46%
1-53.98%
2-51.23%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
16.38%
24.96%
19.01%
9.66%
3.68%
1.12%
0.28%
1
4.68%
7.12%
5.43%
2.76%
1.05%
0.32%
0.08%
2
0.67%
1.02%
0.77%
0.39%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Southampton
1-04.68%
2-00.67%
2-11.02%
Draw
0-016.38%
1-17.12%
2-20.77%
Manchester City
0-124.96%
0-219.01%
1-25.43%
0-39.66%
1-32.76%
2-30.39%
0-43.68%
1-41.05%
2-40.15%
0-51.12%
1-50.32%
0-60.28%