Chelsea at Brentford

Updated

Chelsea

50.2%25.7%24.1%
Chelsea WinDrawBrentford Win
1.53Projected Goals 0.98
2Final Score 2

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Fulham-150
W 5-1 at West Ham United-140
T 0-0 vs Crystal Palace-125
W 1-0 at Nottingham Forest+105
W 0-1 vs Manchester United-190
Brentford
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sunderland+140
W 0-1 vs Aston Villa+225
L 1-3 at Nottingham Forest+325
T 1-1 at Wolverhampton+130
L 3-2 vs Fulham+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-126-120-121-120-123-120-120-111.3
Brentford+343+334+325+345+327+345+345+360.8
Draw+290+277+270+277+272+277+277+290.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-135--125-125-120-120-120-111.3
Brentford+350-+340+300+280+320+340+360.8
Draw+295-+278+260+255+275+278+290.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -112 to -118
Brentford ML moved from +320 to +310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -110 to -125
Brentford ML moved from +320 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-132o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-116o2½-120o2½-116o2½-111
Underu2½+112u2½+102u2½+100u2½+104u2½-104u2½+104u2½+104u2½+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-115o2½-112o2½-130o2½-140o2½-115o2½-112o2½-111
Underu2½+120u2½-105u2½-108u2½+110u2½+110u2½-105u2½+110u2½+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.14%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 413.43%
Exactly 62.82%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.42%
Exactly 321.41%
Exactly 56.74%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 021.62%
Exactly 133.11%
Exactly 225.36%
Exactly 312.94%
Exactly 44.96%
Exactly 51.52%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 037.65%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.96%
Exactly 35.85%
Exactly 41.43%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.31%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 049.21%
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 212.37%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 063.62%
Exactly 128.77%
Exactly 26.51%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals25.64%
Wins by 3+ goals10.35%
Wins by 4+ goals3.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.86%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals8.49%
Wins by 3+ goals2.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Brentford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.43%
Wins by 2 goals15.29%
Wins by 3 goals6.99%
Wins by 4 goals2.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal15.58%
Wins by 2 goals6.22%
Wins by 3 goals1.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.86%8.14%
1.571.44%28.56%
2.545.83%54.17%
3.524.42%75.58%
4.510.99%89.01%
5.54.26%95.74%
6.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.38%21.62%
1.545.27%54.73%
2.519.91%80.09%
3.56.97%93.03%
4.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.35%37.65%
1.525.57%74.43%
2.57.61%92.39%
3.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.69%31.31%
1.532.34%67.66%
2.511.22%88.78%
3.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Brentford
Score01234
0
8.14%
7.95%
3.88%
1.26%
0.31%
1
12.47%
12.18%
5.95%
1.94%
0.47%
2
9.55%
9.33%
4.55%
1.48%
0.36%
3
4.87%
4.76%
2.33%
0.76%
0.18%
4
1.87%
1.82%
0.89%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.57%
0.56%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
Chelsea
1-012.47%
2-09.55%
2-19.33%
3-04.87%
3-14.76%
3-22.33%
4-01.87%
4-11.82%
4-20.89%
4-30.29%
5-00.57%
5-10.56%
5-20.27%
Draw
0-08.14%
1-112.18%
2-24.55%
3-30.76%
Brentford
0-17.95%
0-23.88%
1-25.95%
0-31.26%
1-31.94%
2-31.48%
0-40.31%
1-40.47%
2-40.36%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Brentford
Score0123
0
31.31%
14.16%
3.20%
0.48%
1
22.20%
10.04%
2.27%
0.34%
2
7.87%
3.56%
0.80%
0.12%
3
1.86%
0.84%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.33%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-022.20%
2-07.87%
2-13.56%
3-01.86%
3-10.84%
3-20.19%
4-00.33%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-031.31%
1-110.04%
2-20.80%
Brentford
0-114.16%
0-23.20%
1-22.27%
0-30.48%
1-30.34%
2-30.12%